{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bd5f6d01-7dba-45e5-ba49-22b499b55633", "symbol": "688246", "name": "Goodwill E-Health Info Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.212, "architecture_energy": 71.151, "architecture_maturity": 16.048, "architecture_confidence": 85.06, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.39, "rotation_up": 8.87, "upward_expansion": 15.7, "deceleration": 37.27, "rotation_down": 72.78, "downward_expansion": 89.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.766, 19.044545, 20.436, 20.954559 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 19.4, "trend_reference": 22.186667, "distance_from_trend": -0.125601, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.715064, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.273818, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.922678, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.227399, "excess_performance": -0.184196, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.125601, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052648, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.273818, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120008, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.209227, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012218, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.227399, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.455566, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17666107, "relative_activity": 1.167622, "balance": 0.455566, "dry_up": 1.175487, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142109, "annualized_volatility": 0.52522, "from_high_reference": -0.538095, "from_low_reference": 0.271298 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.186667, "fair_value_reference": 26.715064, "structural_low": 15.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.055057, "positive_rate": 0.380952, "directional_follow_through": 0.619048, "median_excess_return": -0.048725, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.459732, "worst_return": -0.187591, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.048957, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.052006, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.385385, "worst_return": -0.159445, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.14797, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.142144, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.005754, "worst_return": -0.281818, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"fair_value": 26.938462, "relative_strength": -36.63302, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.736754, "energy": 79.485468, "activity_lines": [ 17.836, 19.97, 20.906429, 21.46985 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.469999, "volume": 15591625, "typical_volume": 14869092.55, "trend": 22.315, "fair_value": 26.818526, "relative_strength": -27.941746, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.926662, "energy": 76.693669, "activity_lines": [ 17.349333, 19.273818, 20.567762, 21.142624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.4, "volume": 17666107, "typical_volume": 15129990.75, "trend": 22.186667, "fair_value": 26.715064, "relative_strength": -20.922678, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.211642, "energy": 71.150666, "activity_lines": [ 17.766, 19.044545, 20.436, 20.954559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }