{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bd6beb8d-02ea-412b-b8dd-5d577460a474", "symbol": "ANGI", "name": "ANGI Homeservices Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.986, "architecture_energy": 43.823, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.969, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.07, "rotation_up": 23.07, "upward_expansion": 4.69, "deceleration": 55.0, "rotation_down": 50.98, "downward_expansion": 75.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.463333, 5.641636, 5.820905, 6.28643 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.84, "trend_reference": 7.330667, "distance_from_trend": -0.33976, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.116731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.717236, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -60.145976, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.591561, "excess_performance": -0.779015, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.33976, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.23306, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.717236, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017158, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.60146, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030525, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.591561, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.225782, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5860432, "relative_activity": 1.146216, "balance": 1.225782, "dry_up": 0.685256, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.1978, "annualized_volatility": 0.89088, "from_high_reference": -0.742073, "from_low_reference": 0.13607 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.330667, "fair_value_reference": 17.116731, "structural_low": 4.2603, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.023456, "positive_rate": 0.410256, "directional_follow_through": 0.589744, "median_excess_return": -0.0367, "regime_survival": 0.820513, "best_return": 0.412069, "worst_return": -0.351481, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.035152, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.07661, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.453744, "worst_return": -0.480818, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.224852, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.215406, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.364912, "worst_return": -0.493578, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.251733, "energy": 23.134943, "activity_lines": [ 6.046667, 5.872364, 6.104905, 6.775204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.53, "volume": 2853437, "typical_volume": 5629859.05, "trend": 7.870333, "fair_value": 17.448718, "relative_strength": -54.266987, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.593332, "energy": 26.124283, "activity_lines": [ 5.929333, 5.836364, 6.014524, 6.608882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.67, "volume": 3039505, "typical_volume": 5470934.6, "trend": 7.637667, "fair_value": 17.247885, "relative_strength": -52.301484, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.928832, "energy": 25.276801, "activity_lines": [ 5.824667, 5.815818, 5.953143, 6.466925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.84, "volume": 5860432, "typical_volume": 5112853.4, "trend": 7.330667, "fair_value": 17.116731, "relative_strength": -60.145976, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.985565, "energy": 43.823217, "activity_lines": [ 5.463333, 5.641636, 5.820905, 6.28643 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }