{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bd7e4d03-6858-464a-9b06-ac2c857f9898",
    "symbol": "REP",
    "name": "Repsol, S.A.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.954,
    "architecture_energy": 88.112,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.176,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.449,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.96,
        "rotation_up": 81.06,
        "upward_expansion": 97.66,
        "deceleration": 41.83,
        "rotation_down": 8.05,
        "downward_expansion": 21.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        22.634086
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 25.190001,
    "trend_reference": 21.398157,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.177204,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 13.952833,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.805368,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 12.002159,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.539261,
    "excess_performance": 0.365014,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.177204,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.136357,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.805368,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125519,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.120022,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058648,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.539261,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 1.046287,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045976,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.38403,
      "from_high_reference": -0.053007,
      "from_low_reference": 0.972771
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 13.952833,
      "structural_low": 16.665001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.00759,
        "positive_rate": 0.62069,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.62069,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000938,
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        "worst_return": -0.192182,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.2153,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.27517,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 21.76,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 131.05,
        "trend": 18.078566,
        "fair_value": 12.953547,
        "relative_strength": 17.867003,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.517195,
        "energy": 27.877772,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.53,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 22.559999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 131.05,
        "trend": 18.370519,
        "fair_value": 13.027785,
        "relative_strength": 21.670583,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.428277,
        "energy": 38.567742,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.940666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 22.25,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 131.05,
        "trend": 18.61158,
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        "relative_strength": 16.625233,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.740637,
        "energy": 42.933254,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 128.05,
        "trend": 18.830491,
        "fair_value": 13.172902,
        "relative_strength": 11.080594,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.477241,
        "energy": 38.5864,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 22.474522,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 118.05,
        "trend": 19.047203,
        "fair_value": 13.246094,
        "relative_strength": 14.290304,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.217544,
        "energy": 41.003389,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.245507,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 22.211147,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 118.05,
        "trend": 19.244147,
        "fair_value": 13.316705,
        "relative_strength": 9.218171,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.098435,
        "energy": 36.847073,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 108.05,
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        "fair_value": 13.382128,
        "relative_strength": -1.163836,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 38.646387,
        "energy": 24.088844,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 20.708942,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 55.8,
        "trend": 19.616969,
        "fair_value": 13.44458,
        "relative_strength": -1.13736,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.068908,
        "energy": 11.664798,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.40877,
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          21.860415,
          21.019941
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 21.899002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 55.8,
        "trend": 19.823061,
        "fair_value": 13.516076,
        "relative_strength": 1.648354,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.474939,
        "energy": 14.090644,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.486058,
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          21.895864,
          21.167169
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 23.1,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 55.8,
        "trend": 20.075004,
        "fair_value": 13.594059,
        "relative_strength": 8.071519,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.183713,
        "energy": 25.057858,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.965077,
          21.961085,
          22.021603,
          21.378585
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 24.459999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 45.8,
        "trend": 20.387792,
        "fair_value": 13.681567,
        "relative_strength": 15.918238,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.967579,
        "energy": 63.228479,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.855732,
          22.41009,
          22.253724,
          21.661488
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 25.77,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 45.8,
        "trend": 20.737945,
        "fair_value": 13.772355,
        "relative_strength": 19.625121,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.838033,
        "energy": 87.699562,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.033129,
          23.048187,
          22.585368,
          22.008727
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 26.33,
        "volume": 217,
        "typical_volume": 54.1,
        "trend": 21.08899,
        "fair_value": 13.867083,
        "relative_strength": 21.328456,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.878244,
        "energy": 94.403698,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.0806,
          23.729737,
          22.946298,
          22.369504
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 25.190001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 51.85,
        "trend": 21.398157,
        "fair_value": 13.952833,
        "relative_strength": 12.002159,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.953903,
        "energy": 88.111979,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.373334,
          24.129834,
          23.181799,
          22.634086
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}