{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bd7fceaa-424e-49d8-b030-1ab720a434a2", "symbol": "VFMV", "name": "VANGUARD U.S. MINIMUM VOLATILITY ETF ETF SHARES", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 79.449, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.771, "architecture_energy": 87.736, "architecture_maturity": 36.774, "architecture_confidence": 67.881, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.2, "rotation_up": 84.17, "upward_expansion": 97.32, "deceleration": 39.29, "rotation_down": 10.24, "downward_expansion": 19.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 144.257113, 142.743593, 141.34922, 140.00288 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 146.58, "trend_reference": 138.325956, "distance_from_trend": 0.059671, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 119.264344, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.229035, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.80473, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.076838, "excess_performance": -0.048787, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.059671, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029074, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.229035, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022681, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.028047, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023662, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.076838, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.605193, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 71887, "relative_activity": 0.878383, "balance": 2.605193, "dry_up": 0.815006, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015898, "annualized_volatility": 0.0896, "from_high_reference": -0.000443, "from_low_reference": 0.164781 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 138.325956, "fair_value_reference": 119.264344, "structural_low": 130.96, 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139.926961, 139.982702, 138.923484, 137.900931 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 141.86, "volume": 92336, "typical_volume": 90875.0, "trend": 136.588389, "fair_value": 118.03607, "relative_strength": -4.009316, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.495233, "energy": 42.51037, "activity_lines": [ 140.588263, 140.338318, 139.296237, 138.264751 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 142.3834, "volume": 71320, "typical_volume": 89422.45, "trend": 136.997286, "fair_value": 118.329627, "relative_strength": -2.04173, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.373062, "energy": 62.691412, "activity_lines": [ 141.291823, 140.751038, 139.698151, 138.638622 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 142.8857, "volume": 50840, "typical_volume": 84370.3, "trend": 137.386544, "fair_value": 118.626122, "relative_strength": -1.047309, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.061066, "energy": 74.106109, "activity_lines": [ 142.0462, 141.196451, 140.13398, 139.01852 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 143.9182, "volume": 72754, "typical_volume": 83344.2, "trend": 137.854075, "fair_value": 118.937235, "relative_strength": -1.319995, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.864503, "energy": 78.7087, "activity_lines": [ 142.863933, 141.74841, 140.637494, 139.439917 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 146.58, "volume": 71887, "typical_volume": 81840.15, "trend": 138.325956, "fair_value": 119.264344, "relative_strength": -2.80473, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.77126, "energy": 87.735857, "activity_lines": [ 144.257113, 142.743593, 141.34922, 140.00288 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }