{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bd8597c3-f9ca-48d1-a1cc-1d077670f908", "symbol": "300347", "name": "Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 61.371, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 11.892, "architecture_energy": 23.388, "architecture_maturity": 30.856, "architecture_confidence": 58.758, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.35, "rotation_up": 44.57, "upward_expansion": 33.72, "deceleration": 46.97, "rotation_down": 14.26, "downward_expansion": 42.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.524667, 48.139079, 47.203153, 49.085924 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 54.349998, "trend_reference": 52.204342, "distance_from_trend": 0.041101, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 54.826772, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.008696, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.425698, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.137439, "excess_performance": -0.144838, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.041101, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050024, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.008696, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097752, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.044257, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.221465, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.137439, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.532198, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 103372886, "relative_activity": 1.417571, "balance": 1.532198, "dry_up": 1.612532, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093912, "annualized_volatility": 0.414229, "from_high_reference": -0.236443, "from_low_reference": 0.422804 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.204342, "fair_value_reference": 54.826772, "structural_low": 38.199212, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.045426, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.041959, "regime_survival": 0.526316, "best_return": 0.286385, "worst_return": -0.241449, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.099054, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.092725, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.253631, "worst_return": -0.426637, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.099032, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.099309, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.2125, "worst_return": -0.355016, 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"close": 49.02, "volume": 159585656, "typical_volume": 63888629.75, "trend": 52.623009, "fair_value": 55.060335, "relative_strength": -12.58917, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.182147, "energy": 28.907537, "activity_lines": [ 46.960418, 44.508185, 46.732823, 49.477474 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 46.950001, "volume": 119899684, "typical_volume": 67973335.75, "trend": 52.453342, "fair_value": 54.964918, "relative_strength": -15.920343, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.153921, "energy": 25.997061, "activity_lines": [ 47.409886, 45.134544, 46.516965, 49.111474 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.990002, "volume": 87501679, "typical_volume": 70305030.75, "trend": 52.282676, "fair_value": 54.877966, "relative_strength": -8.372798, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.433057, "energy": 20.736957, "activity_lines": [ 48.40962, 46.310176, 46.64025, 48.952549 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.349998, "volume": 103372886, "typical_volume": 72922555.15, "trend": 52.204342, "fair_value": 54.826772, "relative_strength": -4.425698, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 11.892313, "energy": 23.388385, "activity_lines": [ 50.524667, 48.139079, 47.203153, 49.085924 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }