{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bd8e0a0f-740c-4980-bf98-5d9048592a59", "symbol": "600727", "name": "Shan Dong Lu Bei Chemical Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 65.433, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.16, "architecture_energy": 22.562, "architecture_maturity": 29.463, "architecture_confidence": 48.742, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.82, "rotation_up": 21.4, "upward_expansion": 13.55, "deceleration": 64.54, "rotation_down": 38.97, "downward_expansion": 63.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.236, 7.181825, 7.448036, 7.530693 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.53, "trend_reference": 7.572816, "distance_from_trend": -0.005654, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.01079, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.074059, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.729311, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.003968, "excess_performance": 0.039236, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.005654, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005386, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.074059, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111519, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.007293, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029636, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003968, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.060309, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97570282, "relative_activity": 1.021605, "balance": 1.060309, "dry_up": 0.906955, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082742, "annualized_volatility": 0.390499, "from_high_reference": -0.152981, "from_low_reference": 0.172897 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.572816, "fair_value_reference": 7.01079, "structural_low": 6.42, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.080863, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.057678, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.133884, "worst_return": -0.048535, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.267769, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.037115, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.678, "worst_return": -0.07967, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.250003, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.020533, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.446112, "worst_return": -0.200549, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"energy": 52.953745, "activity_lines": [ 6.951333, 7.168988, 7.478174, 7.547981 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.29, "volume": 70322265, "typical_volume": 97685058.8, "trend": 7.549816, "fair_value": 7.000329, "relative_strength": -0.096027, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.487099, "energy": 38.383167, "activity_lines": [ 7.06, 7.144811, 7.449343, 7.531972 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.53, "volume": 97570282, "typical_volume": 95506868.05, "trend": 7.572816, "fair_value": 7.01079, "relative_strength": 0.729311, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.159759, "energy": 22.561559, "activity_lines": [ 7.236, 7.181825, 7.448036, 7.530693 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }