{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bd952e09-5c5b-4c06-9a4b-34a7baadca63",
    "symbol": "STNC",
    "name": "HENNESSY SUSTAINABLE ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 69.326,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 38.664,
    "architecture_energy": 22.071,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.591,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.628,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.42,
        "rotation_up": 26.91,
        "upward_expansion": 59.91,
        "deceleration": 90.45,
        "rotation_down": 26.43,
        "downward_expansion": 14.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.926187,
        37.044153,
        36.72376,
        36.297055
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 37.1102,
    "trend_reference": 35.80065,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.036579,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.699022,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.20884,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.735333,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.038588,
    "excess_performance": -0.148866,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036579,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040035,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.20884,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002143,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057353,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03033,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038588,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.63102,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8742,
      "relative_activity": 0.953503,
      "balance": 1.63102,
      "dry_up": 1.022245,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.026942,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.147782,
      "from_high_reference": -0.036849,
      "from_low_reference": 0.186244
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 35.80065,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.699022,
      "structural_low": 33.1,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.012229,
        "positive_rate": 0.9,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.9,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004691,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.078162,
        "worst_return": -0.00815,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.050287,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031542,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.128478,
        "worst_return": -0.109028,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.054168,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043823,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.116954,
        "worst_return": 0.031518,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.026526,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.102804,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.026526,
        "worst_return": 0.026526,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.040767,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008103,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.081906,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.08045,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004911,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02233,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.009701,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.023547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017768,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004844,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.000331,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.089768,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "return": 0.020209,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004322,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 16654.1,
        "trend": 33.863555,
        "fair_value": 29.672327,
        "relative_strength": -3.051754,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": -5.823158,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 68.449028,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 14217.75,
        "trend": 34.114812,
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        "relative_strength": -8.768336,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 14274.4,
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        "fair_value": 29.861217,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 12010.4,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 36.1471,
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        "typical_volume": 8697.95,
        "trend": 34.42254,
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        "relative_strength": -11.191217,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 60.551568,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 8648.8,
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        "relative_strength": -7.738869,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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          35.442312,
          35.122948
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 37.4975,
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        "typical_volume": 8821.2,
        "trend": 34.706812,
        "fair_value": 30.141766,
        "relative_strength": -5.337845,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.886705,
        "energy": 59.807276,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -6.817566,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -2.72036,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 72.681952,
        "energy": 77.45912,
        "activity_lines": [
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          35.694176
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 15437,
        "typical_volume": 9173.05,
        "trend": 35.215673,
        "fair_value": 30.363501,
        "relative_strength": -4.892842,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 63.163577,
        "energy": 72.708857,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 37.2898,
        "volume": 7014,
        "typical_volume": 9467.8,
        "trend": 35.356097,
        "fair_value": 30.432063,
        "relative_strength": -5.967747,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.893077,
        "energy": 64.694458,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.402773,
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          36.3719,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.5348,
        "volume": 6804,
        "typical_volume": 9425.45,
        "trend": 35.466443,
        "fair_value": 30.494484,
        "relative_strength": -3.782901,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.222834,
        "energy": 40.090624,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.08822,
          37.005418,
          36.44213,
          36.035608
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.7268,
        "volume": 2916,
        "typical_volume": 9281.05,
        "trend": 35.57617,
        "fair_value": 30.55947,
        "relative_strength": -1.630026,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.141249,
        "energy": 26.764946,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.901847,
          37.004489,
          36.528464,
          36.116921
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.9505,
        "volume": 19027,
        "typical_volume": 9124.1,
        "trend": 35.69245,
        "fair_value": 30.629423,
        "relative_strength": -1.505023,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.92331,
        "energy": 23.300229,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.863107,
          37.015598,
          36.625932,
          36.205588
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.1102,
        "volume": 8742,
        "typical_volume": 9168.3,
        "trend": 35.80065,
        "fair_value": 30.699022,
        "relative_strength": -5.735333,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.664074,
        "energy": 22.071313,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.926187,
          37.044153,
          36.72376,
          36.297055
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}