{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bda01c19-2255-4d9d-a392-9a4d81cbcd14",
    "symbol": "GABC",
    "name": "German American Bancorp Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.698,
    "architecture_energy": 70.552,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.031,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.479,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.52,
        "rotation_up": 78.19,
        "upward_expansion": 91.5,
        "deceleration": 44.82,
        "rotation_down": 12.16,
        "downward_expansion": 13.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        49.694667,
        48.578909,
        46.673336,
        45.403296
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 50.5,
    "trend_reference": 43.898479,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.150382,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 36.568918,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.380954,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.689595,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.154465,
    "excess_performance": -0.032989,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.150382,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067508,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.380954,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1309,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056896,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.144462,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.154465,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.36446,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 738500,
      "relative_activity": 0.990755,
      "balance": 1.36446,
      "dry_up": 1.115482,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049619,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.196206,
      "from_high_reference": -0.033123,
      "from_low_reference": 0.387456
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 43.898479,
      "fair_value_reference": 36.568918,
      "structural_low": 38.372108,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.001887,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000929,
        "regime_survival": 0.730769,
        "best_return": 0.181587,
        "worst_return": -0.163632,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.02535,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.321277,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.003872,
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.312106,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.206962,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 35.992233,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 48.57,
        "volume": 738887,
        "typical_volume": 789287.0,
        "trend": 42.823004,
        "fair_value": 36.13687,
        "relative_strength": 6.143826,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.244056,
        "energy": 73.665148,
        "activity_lines": [
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          45.043316,
          44.091625
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 48.43,
        "volume": 785700,
        "typical_volume": 796893.1,
        "trend": 43.118895,
        "fair_value": 36.278092,
        "relative_strength": 7.489952,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 69.928082,
        "energy": 62.744936,
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          48.012667,
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          44.453367
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 50.88,
        "volume": 1062794,
        "typical_volume": 816390.0,
        "trend": 43.537203,
        "fair_value": 36.423195,
        "relative_strength": 12.056699,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.846698,
        "energy": 67.853816,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.024667,
          47.924364,
          46.125217,
          44.954083
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 50.5,
        "volume": 738500,
        "typical_volume": 745391.25,
        "trend": 43.898479,
        "fair_value": 36.568918,
        "relative_strength": 5.689595,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.697713,
        "energy": 70.552423,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.694667,
          48.578909,
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          45.403296
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}