{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bda72119-21e5-4873-a2ed-4bb7225d8d90",
    "symbol": "TPX",
    "name": "TPXimpact Holdings plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.053,
    "architecture_energy": 63.228,
    "architecture_maturity": 90.574,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.195,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.26,
        "rotation_up": 53.29,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 67.34,
        "rotation_down": 29.31,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.692167,
        0.686727,
        0.618857,
        0.552194
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.695,
    "trend_reference": 0.462683,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.502107,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.345353,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.012436,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 91.057951,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 1.673077,
    "excess_performance": 1.621842,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.502107,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.528942,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.012436,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.531643,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.91058,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00645,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.673077,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.267473,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 499920,
      "relative_activity": 0.638698,
      "balance": 3.267473,
      "dry_up": 0.7164,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.080582,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.556757,
      "from_high_reference": -0.047945,
      "from_low_reference": 4.10279
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.462683,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.345353,
      "structural_low": 0.25,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.034884,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.272727,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032431,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.320755,
        "worst_return": -0.141304,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.047895,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.070302,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.470588,
        "worst_return": -0.398058,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.190159,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.234226,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.098765,
        "worst_return": -0.281553,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.148148,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.241825,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.148148,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-07-12",
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        "return": 0.0,
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      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 111.443816,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.148523,
        "energy": 75.985059,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 786468,
        "typical_volume": 846975.75,
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        "fair_value": 0.339247,
        "relative_strength": 107.272417,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.300253,
        "energy": 66.290366,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.564929,
          0.500783
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.6925,
        "volume": 607747,
        "typical_volume": 830865.4,
        "trend": 0.430183,
        "fair_value": 0.341218,
        "relative_strength": 103.17639,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.056937,
        "energy": 65.815897,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.58419,
          0.518744
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.7,
        "volume": 348821,
        "typical_volume": 796512.8,
        "trend": 0.44635,
        "fair_value": 0.343301,
        "relative_strength": 97.873626,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.541368,
        "energy": 63.927346,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.690333,
          0.679682,
          0.602631,
          0.536152
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.695,
        "volume": 499920,
        "typical_volume": 782717.25,
        "trend": 0.462683,
        "fair_value": 0.345353,
        "relative_strength": 91.057951,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.05284,
        "energy": 63.228417,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.552194
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}