{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bdbcc797-6ca6-4501-baab-a9aa696587ff", "symbol": "MLCFD", "name": "Compagnie de Chemins de Fer D\u00e9partementaux Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 Anonyme", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.799, "architecture_energy": 44.35, "architecture_maturity": 51.007, "architecture_confidence": 59.556, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.86, "rotation_up": 41.95, "upward_expansion": 76.04, "deceleration": 74.33, "rotation_down": 26.76, "downward_expansion": 7.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 1051.721208, 1049.586776, 1026.837663, 1007.525905 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1050.0, "trend_reference": 986.478788, "distance_from_trend": 0.064392, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 794.76489, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.321145, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.399003, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.082474, "excess_performance": 0.029163, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.064392, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071095, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.321145, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085402, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.04399, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008522, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.082474, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.5, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 51, "relative_activity": 14.571429, "balance": 2.5, "dry_up": 3.928571, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031129, "annualized_volatility": 0.286386, "from_high_reference": -0.045455, "from_low_reference": 0.346154 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 986.478788, "fair_value_reference": 794.76489, "structural_low": 915.0, "invalidation": "A 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1040.727295, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.85, "trend": 960.203031, "fair_value": 781.140733, "relative_strength": 6.610864, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.049452, "energy": 87.40536, "activity_lines": [ 1052.339404, 1031.464469, 998.292644, 984.058849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1040.727295, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.85, "trend": 967.727275, "fair_value": 783.886599, "relative_strength": 8.523896, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.272512, "energy": 71.976431, "activity_lines": [ 1049.175773, 1037.213232, 1004.356715, 989.253962 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 992.54541, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 0.85, "trend": 973.645455, "fair_value": 786.294092, "relative_strength": 3.465989, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.928565, "energy": 49.816567, "activity_lines": [ 1027.236361, 1032.370248, 1005.495239, 990.855132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1100.0, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 0.9, "trend": 983.145455, "fair_value": 789.419911, "relative_strength": 13.930982, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.194786, "energy": 60.522619, "activity_lines": [ 1048.278784, 1046.109091, 1016.498269, 999.007039 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1050.0, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 0.95, "trend": 984.812122, "fair_value": 792.048128, "relative_strength": 6.958768, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.326175, "energy": 45.535243, "activity_lines": [ 1049.987874, 1048.393388, 1021.858442, 1003.320235 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1050.0, "volume": 51, "typical_volume": 3.5, "trend": 986.478788, "fair_value": 794.76489, "relative_strength": 4.399003, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.799111, "energy": 44.349803, "activity_lines": [ 1051.721208, 1049.586776, 1026.837663, 1007.525905 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }