{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bdbf1b4a-76e2-44a3-b619-3e0400def048", "symbol": "QLIFE", "name": "Qlife Holding AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 61.876, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.179, "architecture_energy": 21.277, "architecture_maturity": 34.408, "architecture_confidence": 80.318, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.78, "rotation_up": 21.2, "upward_expansion": 5.86, "deceleration": 54.72, "rotation_down": 40.08, "downward_expansion": 67.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.914933, 1.926836, 1.950333, 1.975742 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.876, "trend_reference": 2.029467, "distance_from_trend": -0.075619, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.858346, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.809704, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.91552, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.102392, "excess_performance": -0.163887, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.075619, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007563, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.809704, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09567, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.269155, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085234, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.102392, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.522776, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 175818, "relative_activity": 0.872608, "balance": 0.522776, "dry_up": 0.872792, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.129777, "annualized_volatility": 0.382624, "from_high_reference": -0.619473, "from_low_reference": 0.556846 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.029467, "fair_value_reference": 9.858346, "structural_low": 1.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.008702, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": 0.00665, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.375, "worst_return": -0.208333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.166667, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.164669, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.95, "worst_return": -0.8125, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.495012, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.391951, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.625, "worst_return": -0.94033, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"blue", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.6, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.293939, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.714286, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.38, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.118056, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.483516, "active": false }, { "regime": 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-48.073075, "energy": 31.722054, "activity_lines": [ 1.9216, 1.953436, 1.971152, 2.003359 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.94, "volume": 86527, "typical_volume": 224913.5, "trend": 2.0624, "fair_value": 10.539266, "relative_strength": -25.112649, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.408871, "energy": 29.012239, "activity_lines": [ 1.925333, 1.948618, 1.966, 1.994473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.936, "volume": 192389, "typical_volume": 219576.5, "trend": 2.039933, "fair_value": 10.210194, "relative_strength": -24.776537, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.044448, "energy": 22.497693, "activity_lines": [ 1.9296, 1.9426, 1.960633, 1.986318 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.876, "volume": 175818, "typical_volume": 201485.55, "trend": 2.029467, "fair_value": 9.858346, "relative_strength": -26.91552, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.179245, "energy": 21.277363, "activity_lines": [ 1.914933, 1.926836, 1.950333, 1.975742 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }