{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bdc91350-24ba-4e40-b1bd-9df5bacad65e", "symbol": "GSHP3", "name": "General Shopping e Outlets do Brasil S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.171, "architecture_energy": 73.469, "architecture_maturity": 12.915, "architecture_confidence": 87.126, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.89, "rotation_up": 61.96, "upward_expansion": 87.78, "deceleration": 52.49, "rotation_down": 18.61, "downward_expansion": 16.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.642, 3.588364, 3.350333, 3.242774 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.59, "trend_reference": 3.159, "distance_from_trend": 0.136436, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.671923, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.53206, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.137661, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.173203, "excess_performance": 0.230251, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.136436, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014762, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.53206, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135716, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.071377, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.400197, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.173203, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.538462, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 100, "relative_activity": 0.148148, "balance": 0.538462, "dry_up": 0.222222, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043925, "annualized_volatility": 0.514643, "from_high_reference": -0.202222, "from_low_reference": 0.349624 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.159, "fair_value_reference": 7.671923, "structural_low": 2.81, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.049474, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.375, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.129445, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.090909, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.186957, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.2475, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.12069, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.035948, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.047619, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 15.05, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 775.0, "trend": 15.943333, "fair_value": 32.354423, "relative_strength": -24.843443, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.81572, "energy": 41.165582, "activity_lines": [ 15.279333, 15.754546, 15.878429, 15.865248 ] }, { "date": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.989939, "energy": 40.930635, "activity_lines": [ 2.924, 2.931091, 2.94819, 3.067204 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 2.81, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 775.0, "trend": 3.201, "fair_value": 8.317949, "relative_strength": -22.54525, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.392519, "energy": 43.903142, "activity_lines": [ 2.88, 2.908182, 2.931429, 3.042 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 2.81, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 765.0, "trend": 3.201, "fair_value": 8.228333, "relative_strength": -19.986446, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.972824, "energy": 62.64974, "activity_lines": [ 2.842, 2.887818, 2.915619, 3.016774 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 3.78, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 730.0, "trend": 3.218667, "fair_value": 8.144936, "relative_strength": 5.85566, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 19.043094, "energy": 21.81444, "activity_lines": [ 3.133333, 3.046364, 2.995381, 3.054129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 3.78, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 725.0, "trend": 3.22, "fair_value": 8.061538, "relative_strength": 6.113661, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 47.979677, "energy": 69.66628, "activity_lines": [ 3.392, 3.189818, 3.071714, 3.090344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.78, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 725.0, "trend": 3.212667, "fair_value": 7.978141, "relative_strength": 4.978116, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 54.365464, "energy": 83.071871, "activity_lines": [ 3.586, 3.317273, 3.144619, 3.126473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.7, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 705.0, "trend": 3.202667, "fair_value": 7.898782, "relative_strength": 6.317143, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.182942, "energy": 78.624592, "activity_lines": [ 3.688667, 3.414182, 3.206476, 3.157914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.7, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 685.0, "trend": 3.192667, "fair_value": 7.819423, "relative_strength": 7.243478, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.917946, "energy": 78.508068, "activity_lines": [ 3.732, 3.496545, 3.264524, 3.19 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.6, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 685.0, "trend": 3.179333, "fair_value": 7.745705, "relative_strength": 3.228777, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.841268, "energy": 87.427022, "activity_lines": [ 3.682667, 3.546182, 3.309429, 3.21628 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.59, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 675.0, "trend": 3.159, "fair_value": 7.671923, "relative_strength": 7.137661, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.17059, "energy": 73.469243, "activity_lines": [ 3.642, 3.588364, 3.350333, 3.242774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }