{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bdebd0d1-d488-4f57-8e1c-0d6eaf4d1e73", "symbol": "WTNR", "name": "WisdomTree New Economy Real Estate UCITS ETF - USD Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 48.81, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 5.269, "architecture_energy": 15.631, "architecture_maturity": 38.708, "architecture_confidence": 83.093, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.93, "rotation_up": 16.6, "upward_expansion": 41.16, "deceleration": 83.84, "rotation_down": 40.15, "downward_expansion": 35.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 2327.483333, 2358.495455, 2386.946429, 2356.276344 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2332.25, "trend_reference": 2312.958333, "distance_from_trend": 0.008341, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1850.351923, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.260436, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.659994, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.09175, "excess_performance": 0.040514, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008341, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046603, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.260436, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078854, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.0266, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126443, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.09175, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.061152, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8404, "relative_activity": 0.769174, "balance": 3.061152, "dry_up": 0.87468, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052359, "annualized_volatility": 0.187186, "from_high_reference": -0.103842, "from_low_reference": 0.319146 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2312.958333, "fair_value_reference": 1850.351923, "structural_low": 2036.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.016096, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.015057, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.064779, "worst_return": -0.024078, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.030026, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.070452, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.069624, "worst_return": -0.009572, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.128896, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.056752, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.19713, "worst_return": 0.060663, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"2025-01-24", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.052754, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.013748, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.039716, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.030182, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.092901, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.07342, "active": false }, { "regime": 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2436.809091, 2396.409524, 2348.503226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2285.75, "volume": 10567, "typical_volume": 10403.7, "trend": 2288.466667, "fair_value": 1835.920192, "relative_strength": -1.473528, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.155202, "energy": 18.932455, "activity_lines": [ 2352.516667, 2407.836364, 2390.990476, 2348.874731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2369.75, "volume": 10599, "typical_volume": 10562.35, "trend": 2298.891667, "fair_value": 1840.801923, "relative_strength": 0.69788, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.296426, "energy": 21.905322, "activity_lines": [ 2346.333333, 2395.913636, 2393.422619, 2354.118817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2307.25, "volume": 8657, "typical_volume": 10700.0, "trend": 2307.166667, "fair_value": 1845.438141, "relative_strength": -3.270797, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.219184, "energy": 16.219274, "activity_lines": [ 2328.116667, 2373.327273, 2389.265476, 2354.658065 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2332.25, "volume": 8404, "typical_volume": 10926.0, "trend": 2312.958333, "fair_value": 1850.351923, "relative_strength": -2.659994, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.268905, "energy": 15.631261, "activity_lines": [ 2327.483333, 2358.495455, 2386.946429, 2356.276344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }