{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bdf116d6-f4a6-44c4-9eb2-25cebf5c10fc", "symbol": "1569", "name": "Bin Chuan Enterprise Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.092, "architecture_energy": 72.634, "architecture_maturity": 28.827, "architecture_confidence": 93.81, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.44, "rotation_up": 12.9, "upward_expansion": 17.09, "deceleration": 37.52, "rotation_down": 68.16, "downward_expansion": 90.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.823333, 43.449091, 46.774761, 48.546451 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 42.349998, "trend_reference": 50.436666, "distance_from_trend": -0.160333, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 42.637436, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.006741, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -45.180342, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.197917, "excess_performance": -0.639289, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.160333, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0678, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.006741, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.289765, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.451803, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079688, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.197917, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.458201, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1231334, "relative_activity": 0.202439, "balance": 0.458201, "dry_up": 0.34585, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107166, "annualized_volatility": 0.479545, "from_high_reference": -0.407692, "from_low_reference": 0.165062 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.436666, "fair_value_reference": 42.637436, "structural_low": 36.349998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.008118, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.368421, "median_excess_return": -0.017018, "regime_survival": 0.684211, "best_return": 0.20603, "worst_return": -0.122449, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.017621, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.079043, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.191111, "worst_return": -0.180573, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.081238, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.194526, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.14, "worst_return": -0.197917, "sufficient": true }, 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"relative_strength": -42.821102, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.925378, "energy": 56.728519, "activity_lines": [ 46.203334, 47.620909, 50.224047, 51.095591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.799999, "volume": 1860094, "typical_volume": 6238724.3, "trend": 51.651666, "fair_value": 42.261459, "relative_strength": -45.719334, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.425156, "energy": 65.022807, "activity_lines": [ 44.56, 46.328182, 49.311428, 50.429677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.650002, "volume": 3545355, "typical_volume": 6185635.55, "trend": 51.16, "fair_value": 42.376757, "relative_strength": -47.206851, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.903818, "energy": 75.237946, "activity_lines": [ 42.660001, 44.83, 48.244047, 49.655376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.349998, "volume": 1777730, "typical_volume": 6141012.8, "trend": 50.728333, "fair_value": 42.506813, "relative_strength": -44.21642, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.276422, "energy": 73.75156, "activity_lines": [ 42.033333, 44.06, 47.487857, 49.086989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 42.349998, "volume": 1231334, "typical_volume": 6082492.35, "trend": 50.436666, "fair_value": 42.637436, "relative_strength": -45.180342, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.092148, "energy": 72.633588, "activity_lines": [ 41.823333, 43.449091, 46.774761, 48.546451 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }