{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bdfa0ace-cfdc-4c2b-9371-70f3bb31616a", "symbol": "NANO", "name": "Nano One Materials Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.489, "architecture_energy": 55.765, "architecture_maturity": 61.71, "architecture_confidence": 88.359, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.51, "rotation_up": 21.69, "upward_expansion": 8.81, "deceleration": 50.33, "rotation_down": 59.3, "downward_expansion": 82.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.728, 0.737091, 0.797286, 0.831161 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.78, "trend_reference": 0.878667, "distance_from_trend": -0.112291, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.303462, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.401593, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.698675, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.123596, "excess_performance": -0.244017, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.112291, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.179583, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.401593, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040276, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.356987, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.158928, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.123596, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.809696, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 224600, "relative_activity": 0.605701, "balance": 1.809696, "dry_up": 1.242752, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081854, "annualized_volatility": 0.34119, "from_high_reference": -0.645455, "from_low_reference": 0.2 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.878667, "fair_value_reference": 1.303462, "structural_low": 0.65, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.061224, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.058838, "regime_survival": 0.820513, "best_return": 0.507042, "worst_return": -0.321429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.000566, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.020153, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.492754, "worst_return": -0.486301, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.21659, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.213987, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.560606, "worst_return": -0.569697, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.232489, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.239985, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.191489, "worst_return": -0.608333, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-08-18", "end": "2023-09-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.011494, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-09-08", "end": "2023-10-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.231092, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-10-13", "end": "2023-11-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.100694, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-11-17", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.273764, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.174603, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.280822, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.209524, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.097561, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.013699, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.081633, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.642105, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.11811, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.188034, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.142857, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 2.61, "volume": 389100, "typical_volume": 324545.0, "trend": 3.071, "fair_value": 3.394167, "relative_strength": -10.457757, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after 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-44.357836, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.310327, "energy": 88.681768, "activity_lines": [ 0.726, 0.768545, 0.833905, 0.865075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.68, "volume": 567300, "typical_volume": 390835.0, "trend": 0.904667, "fair_value": 1.333333, "relative_strength": -43.169858, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.358816, "energy": 89.123367, "activity_lines": [ 0.704, 0.744364, 0.816048, 0.849634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.73, "volume": 656500, "typical_volume": 384200.0, "trend": 0.891667, "fair_value": 1.316923, "relative_strength": -38.302129, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.887505, "energy": 82.159627, "activity_lines": [ 0.706, 0.734545, 0.803905, 0.838366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.78, "volume": 224600, "typical_volume": 370810.0, "trend": 0.878667, "fair_value": 1.303462, "relative_strength": -35.698675, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.489263, "energy": 55.764798, "activity_lines": [ 0.728, 0.737091, 0.797286, 0.831161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }