{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bdfabbf3-fcc3-40dd-88d1-7ab0e959210b", "symbol": "300485", "name": "Beijing Science Sun Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.901, "architecture_energy": 26.045, "architecture_maturity": 48.549, "architecture_confidence": 65.201, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.6, "rotation_up": 23.82, "upward_expansion": 14.09, "deceleration": 63.98, "rotation_down": 35.96, "downward_expansion": 61.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.168667, 9.132909, 9.367662, 9.757038 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 9.63, "trend_reference": 10.257126, "distance_from_trend": -0.061141, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.549615, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.008418, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.443918, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.125474, "excess_performance": -0.132874, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.061141, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074694, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.008418, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097769, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.164439, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110974, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.125474, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.288534, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 36633037, "relative_activity": 0.786966, "balance": 0.288534, "dry_up": 1.269911, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098339, "annualized_volatility": 0.39617, "from_high_reference": -0.405322, "from_low_reference": 0.199253 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.257126, "fair_value_reference": 9.549615, "structural_low": 8.03, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.01099, "positive_rate": 0.576923, "directional_follow_through": 0.423077, "median_excess_return": 0.00236, "regime_survival": 0.730769, "best_return": 0.173776, "worst_return": -0.127991, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.015997, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021488, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.265432, "worst_return": -0.209295, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.012735, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027815, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.135802, "worst_return": -0.246234, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.811724, "energy": 27.578794, "activity_lines": [ 9.199333, 9.038698, 9.501809, 9.899504 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.8, "volume": 39018144, "typical_volume": 45807713.6, "trend": 10.28757, "fair_value": 9.552969, "relative_strength": -20.787494, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.464336, "energy": 30.057813, "activity_lines": [ 9.055333, 9.007818, 9.390301, 9.799461 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.63, "volume": 36633037, "typical_volume": 46549722.0, "trend": 10.257126, "fair_value": 9.549615, "relative_strength": -16.443918, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.90085, "energy": 26.045015, "activity_lines": [ 9.168667, 9.132909, 9.367662, 9.757038 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }