{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "be07e760-f618-4091-b053-9bab72577bbf",
    "symbol": "DB15",
    "name": "Xtrackers - FTSE 100 Income UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.098,
    "architecture_energy": 90.071,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.214,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.612,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.9,
        "rotation_up": 84.75,
        "upward_expansion": 99.3,
        "deceleration": 39.11,
        "rotation_down": 9.07,
        "downward_expansion": 21.3
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 12.452,
    "trend_reference": 11.690065,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.065178,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.637283,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.292065,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -8.929167,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.085645,
    "excess_performance": -0.088601,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065178,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039009,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.292065,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056231,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089292,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003536,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085645,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": null,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": null,
      "balance": null,
      "dry_up": null,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018617,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.146654,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004159,
      "from_low_reference": 0.247138
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.690065,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.637283,
      "structural_low": 10.842529,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 47,
        "median_return": 0.014767,
        "positive_rate": 0.595745,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.595745,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001312,
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        "best_return": 0.07534,
        "worst_return": -0.080876,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 42.422062,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 0.0,
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        "fair_value": 9.496218,
        "relative_strength": -11.287436,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 12.012,
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        "typical_volume": 0.0,
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        "fair_value": 9.523568,
        "relative_strength": -10.781077,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.295668,
        "energy": 68.059367,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 12.128,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.0,
        "trend": 11.554916,
        "fair_value": 9.550744,
        "relative_strength": -7.976688,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.077407,
        "energy": 76.502844,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.0144,
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          11.763559,
          11.686089
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.26,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.0,
        "trend": 11.601289,
        "fair_value": 9.578082,
        "relative_strength": -8.059777,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.069362,
        "energy": 83.950039,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.123867,
          11.980655,
          11.821819,
          11.731579
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.402,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.0,
        "trend": 11.648653,
        "fair_value": 9.607522,
        "relative_strength": -6.767595,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.965049,
        "energy": 87.271494,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.2392,
          12.073455,
          11.889645,
          11.783238
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.452,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 0.0,
        "trend": 11.690065,
        "fair_value": 9.637283,
        "relative_strength": -8.929167,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.098343,
        "energy": 90.071379,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.327733,
          12.164509,
          11.957722,
          11.835066
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}