{ "ticker": { "uuid": "be097e54-edee-4b26-be9d-f8cf2303af6c", "symbol": "SFD", "name": "Smithfield Foods, Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 49.592, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Neutral compression", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 23.914, "architecture_energy": 17.239, "architecture_maturity": 17.601, "architecture_confidence": 51.603, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.02, "rotation_up": 46.01, "upward_expansion": 59.38, "deceleration": 66.54, "rotation_down": 18.54, "downward_expansion": 18.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.743333, 25.553818, 25.846953, 25.756199 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 25.4, "trend_reference": 25.344745, "distance_from_trend": 0.00218, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.914678, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.10846, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.426104, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.06259, "excess_performance": -0.124863, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.00218, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057013, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.10846, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036616, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.074261, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0112, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.06259, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.979033, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5957021, "relative_activity": 0.810053, "balance": 0.979033, "dry_up": 0.790062, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052054, "annualized_volatility": 0.331389, "from_high_reference": -0.137112, "from_low_reference": 0.247708 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.344745, "fair_value_reference": 22.914678, "structural_low": 22.34087, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.26, "volume": 4930352, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.04, "volume": 4833937, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.4, "volume": 5957021, "typical_volume": 7353864.9, "trend": 25.344745, "fair_value": 22.914678, "relative_strength": -7.426104, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.913952, "energy": 17.238993, "activity_lines": [ 25.743333, 25.553818, 25.846953, 25.756199 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }