{ "ticker": { "uuid": "be11cd6a-c456-4887-9823-d8f0e4879c6e", "symbol": "METCB", "name": "Ramaco Resources Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -77.127, "architecture_energy": 83.629, "architecture_maturity": 64.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.487, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.03, "rotation_up": 9.49, "upward_expansion": 19.1, "deceleration": 37.54, "rotation_down": 82.46, "downward_expansion": 97.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.976667, 7.79324, 8.8901, 9.520751 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 6.44, "trend_reference": 10.461345, "distance_from_trend": -0.3844, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.365224, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.378692, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -54.101452, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.515038, "excess_performance": -0.702491, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.3844, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105055, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.378692, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.376394, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.541015, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.251089, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.515038, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.248031, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 473308, "relative_activity": 2.051109, "balance": 0.248031, "dry_up": 1.409735, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.212942, "annualized_volatility": 0.560149, "from_high_reference": -0.701697, "from_low_reference": 0.110345 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.461345, "fair_value_reference": 10.365224, "structural_low": 5.8, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.021476, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.075594, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.975995, "worst_return": -0.342538, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.213513, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.178019, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.634114, "worst_return": -0.2916, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.050293, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.148114, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.38593, "worst_return": -0.486515, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 7.373333, 8.290907, 9.207705, 9.793305 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.44, "volume": 473308, "typical_volume": 230757.1, "trend": 10.461345, "fair_value": 10.365224, "relative_strength": -54.101452, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.127225, "energy": 83.628631, "activity_lines": [ 6.976667, 7.79324, 8.8901, 9.520751 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }