{ "ticker": { "uuid": "be154b6f-548c-4b9f-9c1d-84520778a8a6", "symbol": "001267", "name": "Hui Lyu Ecological Technology Groups Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 74.099, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -28.409, "architecture_energy": 60.088, "architecture_maturity": 4.39, "architecture_confidence": 62.845, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.76, "rotation_up": 14.22, "upward_expansion": 27.89, "deceleration": 49.45, "rotation_down": 72.44, "downward_expansion": 57.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.930666, 40.516181, 46.439275, 45.757824 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 42.689999, "trend_reference": 42.482827, "distance_from_trend": 0.004877, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.049959, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.836553, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 33.442325, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.465817, "excess_performance": 0.458418, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.004877, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.241201, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.836553, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -2.581695, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.334423, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.055941, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.465817, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.594565, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 236253407, "relative_activity": 1.261673, "balance": 0.594565, "dry_up": 0.913314, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.198195, "annualized_volatility": 0.962096, "from_high_reference": -0.387667, "from_low_reference": 2.45421 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.482827, "fair_value_reference": 15.049959, "structural_low": 24.97743, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.021635, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.016019, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.021635, "worst_return": 0.021635, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.542067, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.443138, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.542067, "worst_return": 0.542067, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.439904, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 1.116285, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.439904, "worst_return": 1.439904, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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47.268043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 43.389999, "volume": 154748355, "typical_volume": 211417496.7, "trend": 40.787522, "fair_value": 14.305453, "relative_strength": 35.296097, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.242268, "energy": 14.10208, "activity_lines": [ 48.898666, 52.196066, 51.810714, 47.489615 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.919998, "volume": 118432649, "typical_volume": 210759730.5, "trend": 41.186214, "fair_value": 14.494041, "relative_strength": 17.982916, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -17.275924, "energy": 27.524116, "activity_lines": [ 43.691999, 48.530727, 50.478202, 47.111065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.0, "volume": 169243576, "typical_volume": 199670635.2, "trend": 41.509855, "fair_value": 14.656426, "relative_strength": 3.168783, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.609735, "energy": 49.175931, "activity_lines": [ 38.150666, 44.650908, 48.751178, 46.45389 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.82, "volume": 160157826, "typical_volume": 188999995.85, "trend": 41.789168, "fair_value": 14.812195, "relative_strength": -0.236239, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.711434, "energy": 69.292872, "activity_lines": [ 34.022666, 41.133818, 46.950605, 45.699705 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.689999, "volume": 236253407, "typical_volume": 187254090.45, "trend": 42.482827, "fair_value": 15.049959, "relative_strength": 33.442325, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.408778, "energy": 60.088082, "activity_lines": [ 35.930666, 40.516181, 46.439275, 45.757824 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }