{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "be17317e-e601-4cf7-bc36-aad0eb44c7dd",
    "symbol": "TGED",
    "name": "TD Active Global Enhanced Dividend ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 59.241,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 24.053,
    "architecture_energy": 25.713,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.599,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.992,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.41,
        "rotation_up": 20.56,
        "upward_expansion": 54.72,
        "deceleration": 91.16,
        "rotation_down": 39.87,
        "downward_expansion": 20.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        32.610514,
        33.260359,
        33.104613,
        32.341101
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 32.82,
    "trend_reference": 31.407204,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.044983,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 25.180176,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.303406,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.354993,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.102552,
    "excess_performance": -0.017869,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044983,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053649,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.303406,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.066613,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03355,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050939,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102552,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.487696,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 386400,
      "relative_activity": 1.054096,
      "balance": 0.487696,
      "dry_up": 1.837644,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045133,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.228397,
      "from_high_reference": -0.093359,
      "from_low_reference": 0.214027
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.407204,
      "fair_value_reference": 25.180176,
      "structural_low": 27.337319,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.003156,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01205,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.080777,
        "worst_return": -0.107281,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.063098,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03203,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.151222,
        "worst_return": 0.039306,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.122166,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.035831,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.179847,
        "worst_return": -0.008872,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.209969,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006546,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.237608,
        "worst_return": -0.122866,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-10-20",
        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.065244,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.211615,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.05302,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.106143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.060345,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.126067,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037597,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.075019,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.035338,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.028083,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.052758,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.042453,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024984,
        "active": true
      }
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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        "energy": 41.845225,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 349105.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 24.226131,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 24.567012,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 34.91148,
        "volume": 40000,
        "typical_volume": 288490.0,
        "trend": 30.734428,
        "fair_value": 24.683197,
        "relative_strength": 5.364764,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 309900.0,
        "trend": 30.929193,
        "fair_value": 24.792616,
        "relative_strength": 3.417232,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 65.790702,
        "energy": 78.88489,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.656742,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 32.150063,
        "volume": 757800,
        "typical_volume": 329080.0,
        "trend": 31.05054,
        "fair_value": 24.888053,
        "relative_strength": -2.842122,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.09982,
        "energy": 41.318304,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.836484,
          33.868024,
          32.945921,
          32.077063
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.788082,
        "volume": 497400,
        "typical_volume": 328540.0,
        "trend": 31.187594,
        "fair_value": 24.986674,
        "relative_strength": -1.069031,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.133514,
        "energy": 27.533803,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.319362,
          33.706939,
          33.042151,
          32.189162
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 32.02,
        "volume": 1052900,
        "typical_volume": 363190.0,
        "trend": 31.297356,
        "fair_value": 25.080832,
        "relative_strength": -2.808867,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.887598,
        "energy": 24.222023,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.749378,
          33.401981,
          33.0443,
          32.242866
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 32.82,
        "volume": 386400,
        "typical_volume": 366570.0,
        "trend": 31.407204,
        "fair_value": 25.180176,
        "relative_strength": -3.354993,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.05339,
        "energy": 25.713164,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.610514,
          33.260359,
          33.104613,
          32.341101
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}