{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "be1affff-5d9f-4371-bf93-5f7540441909",
    "symbol": "RTWO",
    "name": "L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETF USD Accumulate",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 73.787,
    "architecture_energy": 64.078,
    "architecture_maturity": 95.157,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.382,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.77,
        "rotation_up": 50.7,
        "upward_expansion": 78.5,
        "deceleration": 71.45,
        "rotation_down": 29.62,
        "downward_expansion": 16.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        123.553998,
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        120.595571,
        117.225849
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 124.849998,
    "trend_reference": 113.297333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.101968,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 96.377244,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.29543,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.011082,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.169226,
    "excess_performance": -0.001665,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101968,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068621,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.29543,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063805,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000111,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010956,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169226,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.68768,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6873,
      "relative_activity": 1.122837,
      "balance": 1.68768,
      "dry_up": 0.860793,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02178,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.116656,
      "from_high_reference": -0.011715,
      "from_low_reference": 0.363289
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 113.297333,
      "fair_value_reference": 96.377244,
      "structural_low": 99.940002,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.007565,
        "positive_rate": 0.59375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.59375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004949,
        "regime_survival": 0.71875,
        "best_return": 0.095101,
        "worst_return": -0.144646,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01107,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.172822,
        "worst_return": -0.168738,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.134971,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.067982,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-06-07",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 103.875668,
        "fair_value": 92.737244,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 11341.8,
        "trend": 105.461001,
        "fair_value": 93.480064,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 106.687667,
        "fair_value": 93.960128,
        "relative_strength": 2.461776,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 10408.15,
        "trend": 107.463334,
        "fair_value": 94.221603,
        "relative_strength": 1.802427,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 109.082334,
        "fair_value": 94.780834,
        "relative_strength": 5.328075,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 95.35058,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 77,
        "typical_volume": 8397.7,
        "trend": 109.824667,
        "fair_value": 95.063782,
        "relative_strength": 1.773626,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 4040,
        "typical_volume": 8083.7,
        "trend": 110.530667,
        "fair_value": 95.342628,
        "relative_strength": 1.683236,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.331197,
        "energy": 87.883169,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 123.919998,
        "volume": 4963,
        "typical_volume": 7771.5,
        "trend": 111.257,
        "fair_value": 95.605449,
        "relative_strength": 3.089419,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.921267,
        "energy": 86.084366,
        "activity_lines": [
          124.031999,
          122.416182,
          118.185857,
          115.01428
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 124.099998,
        "volume": 4093,
        "typical_volume": 7670.4,
        "trend": 111.998,
        "fair_value": 95.86218,
        "relative_strength": 3.266729,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.568751,
        "energy": 66.539594,
        "activity_lines": [
          124.086665,
          123.059454,
          119.140524,
          115.84286
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 121.269997,
        "volume": 5147,
        "typical_volume": 6169.55,
        "trend": 112.685667,
        "fair_value": 96.104936,
        "relative_strength": 0.128511,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.287935,
        "energy": 61.884343,
        "activity_lines": [
          123.103998,
          123.000726,
          119.740666,
          116.441054
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 124.849998,
        "volume": 6873,
        "typical_volume": 6121.1,
        "trend": 113.297333,
        "fair_value": 96.377244,
        "relative_strength": 0.011082,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.787481,
        "energy": 64.078313,
        "activity_lines": [
          123.553998,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}