{ "ticker": { "uuid": "be28061c-f877-49be-a4b1-72879c1fd058", "symbol": "688077", "name": "Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.276, "architecture_energy": 70.128, "architecture_maturity": 48.239, "architecture_confidence": 85.819, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.18, "rotation_up": 11.88, "upward_expansion": 18.02, "deceleration": 34.36, "rotation_down": 71.68, "downward_expansion": 89.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.960667, 25.622182, 27.188749, 28.245402 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 25.99, "trend_reference": 29.804789, "distance_from_trend": -0.127992, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.689785, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.052662, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.649236, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.241006, "excess_performance": -0.197803, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.127992, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047709, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.052662, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.224628, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.166492, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069774, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.241006, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.569855, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17435858, "relative_activity": 1.316478, "balance": 0.569855, "dry_up": 1.160556, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.146212, "annualized_volatility": 0.689292, "from_high_reference": -0.423739, "from_low_reference": 0.272772 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.804789, "fair_value_reference": 24.689785, "structural_low": 20.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.046707, "positive_rate": 0.344828, "directional_follow_through": 0.655172, "median_excess_return": -0.034634, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.240462, "worst_return": -0.216844, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.112447, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.117532, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 0.177474, "worst_return": -0.341892, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.293743, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.236523, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.194357, "worst_return": -0.419778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 21144670, "typical_volume": 13645156.65, "trend": 30.510847, "fair_value": 24.784858, "relative_strength": -26.383746, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.874685, "energy": 50.944726, "activity_lines": [ 27.044, 27.905425, 28.680309, 29.55195 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.43, "volume": 11740372, "typical_volume": 13141271.65, "trend": 30.211463, "fair_value": 24.728644, "relative_strength": -29.923352, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.730504, "energy": 66.436326, "activity_lines": [ 24.852, 26.612546, 27.935229, 28.966089 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.0, "volume": 11162211, "typical_volume": 12975153.8, "trend": 29.949194, "fair_value": 24.692171, "relative_strength": -24.528967, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.083009, "energy": 75.575709, "activity_lines": [ 23.800667, 25.776, 27.398275, 28.500834 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.99, "volume": 17435858, "typical_volume": 13244325.2, "trend": 29.804789, "fair_value": 24.689785, "relative_strength": -16.649236, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.275599, "energy": 70.128134, "activity_lines": [ 23.960667, 25.622182, 27.188749, 28.245402 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }