{ "ticker": { "uuid": "be2ff7b0-29ea-46fc-b18a-db98690d3377", "symbol": "ARG", "name": "Amerigo Resources Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.544, "architecture_energy": 79.556, "architecture_maturity": 28.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.534, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.72, "rotation_up": 76.52, "upward_expansion": 89.74, "deceleration": 45.2, "rotation_down": 10.13, "downward_expansion": 16.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.471333, 7.050632, 6.723683, 6.41201 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.36, "trend_reference": 6.061406, "distance_from_trend": 0.379218, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.534613, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.298334, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 59.044082, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.561358, "excess_performance": 0.440936, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.379218, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.195607, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.298334, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135341, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.590441, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095371, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.561358, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.482224, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4100400, "relative_activity": 1.148173, "balance": 1.482224, "dry_up": 1.198652, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093284, "annualized_volatility": 0.616784, "from_high_reference": -0.003576, "from_low_reference": 3.413463 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.061406, "fair_value_reference": 2.534613, "structural_low": 4.12287, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.046358, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.030117, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.261847, "worst_return": -0.223363, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.125533, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.124047, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.77, "worst_return": -0.292824, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.209863, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.124197, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.964542, "worst_return": -0.375497, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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2.413086, "relative_strength": 46.809888, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.196084, "energy": 42.717037, "activity_lines": [ 6.642063, 6.516518, 6.316899, 6.089112 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.6, "volume": 3178900, "typical_volume": 3615595.0, "trend": 5.873433, "fair_value": 2.453893, "relative_strength": 54.370812, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.578784, "energy": 72.955419, "activity_lines": [ 7.004973, 6.721631, 6.469004, 6.207756 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.63, "volume": 4311500, "typical_volume": 3626445.0, "trend": 5.950624, "fair_value": 2.488583, "relative_strength": 33.112336, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.223143, "energy": 59.512632, "activity_lines": [ 6.974346, 6.730576, 6.517761, 6.256567 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.36, "volume": 4100400, "typical_volume": 3571240.0, "trend": 6.061406, "fair_value": 2.534613, "relative_strength": 59.044082, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.544363, "energy": 79.556151, "activity_lines": [ 7.471333, 7.050632, 6.723683, 6.41201 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }