{ "ticker": { "uuid": "be39bc97-73f3-4198-9faf-e59a58628659", "symbol": "3229", "name": "Cheer Time Enterprise Co., Ltd", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.284, "architecture_energy": 56.783, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.294, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.44, "rotation_up": 59.38, "upward_expansion": 80.23, "deceleration": 54.3, "rotation_down": 17.8, "downward_expansion": 9.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.97, 44.540909, 42.906666, 38.875376 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 53.799999, "trend_reference": 33.566666, "distance_from_trend": 0.602781, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.698718, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.599195, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 55.369736, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.451025, "excess_performance": 1.009653, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.602781, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.291937, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.599195, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.646946, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.553697, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.246829, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.451025, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.817641, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7788813, "relative_activity": 2.195485, "balance": 1.817641, "dry_up": 1.314306, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142122, "annualized_volatility": 0.852329, "from_high_reference": -0.039286, "from_low_reference": 2.870504 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.566666, "fair_value_reference": 20.698718, "structural_low": 17.700001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.033675, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.02436, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.50939, "worst_return": -0.229682, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.061828, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.059471, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.358025, "worst_return": -0.276364, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.34833, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.321766, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.229333, "worst_return": -0.017284, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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31.921666, "fair_value": 20.275, "relative_strength": 35.461483, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.983313, "energy": 21.89062, "activity_lines": [ 41.113334, 41.841819, 40.457857, 36.559355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.549999, "volume": 5174020, "typical_volume": 3283860.6, "trend": 32.53, "fair_value": 20.465064, "relative_strength": 41.075009, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.906693, "energy": 34.117332, "activity_lines": [ 42.96, 42.505455, 41.401428, 37.503118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 53.799999, "volume": 7788813, "typical_volume": 3547650.4, "trend": 33.566666, "fair_value": 20.698718, "relative_strength": 55.369736, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.284244, "energy": 56.782832, "activity_lines": [ 46.97, 44.540909, 42.906666, 38.875376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }