{ "ticker": { "uuid": "be3d7393-d386-4f0f-b93e-9b9bc67eac69", "symbol": "LXB", "name": "Luxbright AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.18, "architecture_energy": 60.387, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.72, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.58, "rotation_up": 27.02, "upward_expansion": 10.21, "deceleration": 55.51, "rotation_down": 58.28, "downward_expansion": 85.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.096047, 0.105458, 0.12375, 0.167043 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.091, "trend_reference": 0.239452, "distance_from_trend": -0.619965, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.640452, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.857913, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -80.923066, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.793182, "excess_performance": -0.854676, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.619965, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.381648, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.857913, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0837, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.809231, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054933, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.793182, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.569314, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 894489, "relative_activity": 1.384577, "balance": 0.569314, "dry_up": 1.727992, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.416822, "annualized_volatility": 1.402647, "from_high_reference": -0.887654, "from_low_reference": 0.1375 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.239452, "fair_value_reference": 0.640452, "structural_low": 0.08, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.026892, "positive_rate": 0.388889, "directional_follow_through": 0.611111, "median_excess_return": -0.047934, "regime_survival": 0.861111, "best_return": 0.8875, "worst_return": -0.621212, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.104918, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.187783, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.471783, "worst_return": -0.567493, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.27709, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.340452, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.852248, "worst_return": -0.738, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 477889.7, "trend": 0.277725, "fair_value": 0.65137, "relative_strength": -79.358027, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.899348, "energy": 65.853959, "activity_lines": [ 0.113, 0.122645, 0.147898, 0.200267 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.091, "volume": 1379101, "typical_volume": 536954.3, "trend": 0.265658, "fair_value": 0.647723, "relative_strength": -81.356548, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.882982, "energy": 73.309447, "activity_lines": [ 0.104433, 0.1155, 0.138346, 0.18822 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0988, "volume": 1560786, "typical_volume": 606837.8, "trend": 0.252385, "fair_value": 0.643933, "relative_strength": -79.436543, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.552745, "energy": 71.631723, "activity_lines": [ 0.101133, 0.110755, 0.130786, 0.177455 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.091, "volume": 894489, "typical_volume": 646037.6, "trend": 0.239452, "fair_value": 0.640452, "relative_strength": -80.923066, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.180017, "energy": 60.386775, "activity_lines": [ 0.096047, 0.105458, 0.12375, 0.167043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }