{ "ticker": { "uuid": "be4d5db6-13d8-46d3-b733-d003137907b6", "symbol": "002873", "name": "Guiyang Xintian Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.518, "architecture_energy": 43.201, "architecture_maturity": 77.412, "architecture_confidence": 62.116, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.48, "rotation_up": 25.8, "upward_expansion": 18.35, "deceleration": 66.9, "rotation_down": 41.69, "downward_expansion": 66.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.730667, 7.722909, 8.236833, 8.709139 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 8.06, "trend_reference": 9.286499, "distance_from_trend": -0.132073, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.097103, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.201751, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.472559, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.211017, "excess_performance": -0.218417, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.132073, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08784, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.201751, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153693, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.224726, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009274, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.211017, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.611126, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 32905440, "relative_activity": 0.779828, "balance": 0.611126, "dry_up": 1.016125, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085069, "annualized_volatility": 0.360067, "from_high_reference": -0.467605, "from_low_reference": 0.136812 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.286499, "fair_value_reference": 10.097103, "structural_low": 7.09, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.005969, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": 0.021766, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.381118, "worst_return": -0.165327, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.012238, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.025854, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.36036, "worst_return": -0.124396, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.001895, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.061388, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.244278, "worst_return": -0.295681, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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10.155099, "relative_strength": -30.112741, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.316079, "energy": 63.577029, "activity_lines": [ 7.564667, 7.747609, 8.436943, 8.904795 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.68, "volume": 35801063, "typical_volume": 41683958.7, "trend": 9.347392, "fair_value": 10.123755, "relative_strength": -23.20476, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.561542, "energy": 54.917001, "activity_lines": [ 7.598, 7.685273, 8.312399, 8.792197 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.06, "volume": 32905440, "typical_volume": 42195791.65, "trend": 9.286499, "fair_value": 10.097103, "relative_strength": -22.472559, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.518181, "energy": 43.200973, "activity_lines": [ 7.730667, 7.722909, 8.236833, 8.709139 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }