{ "ticker": { "uuid": "be7111dc-6c5d-467b-8806-921df5125b77", "symbol": "WDESG", "name": "UBS MSCI World Selection UCITS ETF USD acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.754, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.846, "architecture_energy": 65.575, "architecture_maturity": 59.352, "architecture_confidence": 76.705, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.87, "rotation_up": 58.6, "upward_expansion": 83.69, "deceleration": 64.4, "rotation_down": 27.17, "downward_expansion": 10.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 280.536668, 278.939091, 276.044524, 270.884839 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 288.799988, "trend_reference": 265.4, "distance_from_trend": 0.088169, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 235.888509, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.224307, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.351208, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.126585, "excess_performance": 0.043701, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088169, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034765, "read": "Rising" 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"invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.004952, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.005948, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.048166, "worst_return": -0.021361, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.044026, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.048075, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.044026, "worst_return": 0.044026, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"2026-07-17", "close": 276.75, "volume": 14703, "typical_volume": 8182.05, "trend": 263.075, "fair_value": 234.549777, "relative_strength": -1.566789, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.880278, "energy": 58.670431, "activity_lines": [ 277.506663, 277.226362, 272.230237, 267.72215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 273.950012, "volume": 8470, "typical_volume": 8396.2, "trend": 263.698334, "fair_value": 234.943779, "relative_strength": -2.408058, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.690969, "energy": 50.293343, "activity_lines": [ 276.410002, 276.702728, 273.036905, 268.423764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 277.450012, "volume": 34346, "typical_volume": 9905.15, "trend": 264.405001, "fair_value": 235.364633, "relative_strength": -1.25735, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.601403, "energy": 44.706164, "activity_lines": [ 276.743339, 276.801821, 274.070239, 269.310969 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 288.799988, "volume": 4107, "typical_volume": 9447.5, "trend": 265.4, "fair_value": 235.888509, "relative_strength": 1.351208, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.846187, "energy": 65.574834, "activity_lines": [ 280.536668, 278.939091, 276.044524, 270.884839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }