{ "ticker": { "uuid": "beac0a80-c44a-404f-83e7-e83ac814ba38", "symbol": "7080", "name": "Permaju Industries Berhad", "exchange": "KLS", "country": "MY", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^KLSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.286, "architecture_energy": 12.126, "architecture_maturity": 38.982, "architecture_confidence": 79.61, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 65.37, "rotation_up": 27.74, "upward_expansion": 54.4, "deceleration": 87.52, "rotation_down": 19.58, "downward_expansion": 11.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.01, 0.010182, 0.009643, 0.009226 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.01, "trend_reference": 0.009, "distance_from_trend": 0.111111, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.028654, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.651007, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.740453, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": 0.009328, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.111111, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035714, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.651007, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034794, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.007405, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042544, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.009835, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1233300, "relative_activity": 0.446459, "balance": 1.009835, "dry_up": 0.725735, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.576923, "annualized_volatility": 3.4912, "from_high_reference": -0.333333, "from_low_reference": 1.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.009, "fair_value_reference": 0.028654, "structural_low": 0.005, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.185185, "directional_follow_through": 0.185185, "median_excess_return": -0.015647, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.461538, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.140909, "positive_rate": 0.1, "directional_follow_through": 0.1, "median_excess_return": -0.155585, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.076923, "worst_return": -0.666667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.292308, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.227919, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": -0.1, "worst_return": -0.75, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"2024-03-29", "end": "2024-04-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.666667, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", 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34.075831, "activity_lines": [ 0.010667, 0.009727, 0.008857, 0.008839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.01, "volume": 1289000, "typical_volume": 1381280.0, "trend": 0.009, "fair_value": 0.029808, "relative_strength": -1.458987, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.781322, "energy": 23.662566, "activity_lines": [ 0.010667, 0.009909, 0.009, 0.008903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.01, "volume": 25437300, "typical_volume": 2640745.0, "trend": 0.009, "fair_value": 0.029583, "relative_strength": 0.515272, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.673411, "energy": 29.880203, "activity_lines": [ 0.010667, 0.01, 0.009143, 0.008968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.01, "volume": 3828700, "typical_volume": 2784105.0, "trend": 0.009, "fair_value": 0.029359, "relative_strength": -0.639682, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.958532, "energy": 34.377402, "activity_lines": [ 0.010667, 0.010091, 0.009286, 0.009032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.01, "volume": 1103700, "typical_volume": 2660400.0, "trend": 0.009, "fair_value": 0.029103, "relative_strength": -1.04503, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.708969, "energy": 18.41381, "activity_lines": [ 0.010333, 0.010182, 0.009429, 0.009097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 0.01, "volume": 1853400, "typical_volume": 2722430.0, "trend": 0.009, "fair_value": 0.028878, "relative_strength": -0.383592, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.961016, "energy": 13.001938, "activity_lines": [ 0.01, 0.010182, 0.009548, 0.009161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 0.01, "volume": 1233300, "typical_volume": 2762405.0, "trend": 0.009, "fair_value": 0.028654, "relative_strength": -0.740453, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.285813, "energy": 12.12643, "activity_lines": [ 0.01, 0.010182, 0.009643, 0.009226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }