{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "beb4e20d-1822-41fa-b5f7-222188fd5257",
    "symbol": "TFL",
    "name": "Transwarranty Finance Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -57.462,
    "architecture_energy": 55.51,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.896,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.173,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.2,
        "rotation_up": 13.67,
        "upward_expansion": 11.15,
        "deceleration": 39.65,
        "rotation_down": 62.44,
        "downward_expansion": 84.49
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.19,
        11.449818,
        11.836143,
        12.084151
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 11.6,
    "trend_reference": 12.523,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.073704,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 16.478526,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.296054,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.595881,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.158811,
    "excess_performance": -0.115102,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073704,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064703,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.296054,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069752,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.125959,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017534,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.158811,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.211282,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 34245,
      "relative_activity": 0.408826,
      "balance": 1.211282,
      "dry_up": 0.577762,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.09443,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.314816,
      "from_high_reference": -0.372973,
      "from_low_reference": 0.136141
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.523,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.478526,
      "structural_low": 10.21,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017275,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.319445,
        "worst_return": -0.320249,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.121538,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.137146,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.494993,
        "worst_return": -0.357241,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.03908,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024738,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.042308,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.25977,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "start": "2023-12-08",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "relative_strength": -11.690724,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 137506.15,
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        "relative_strength": -12.409577,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 132610.05,
        "trend": 13.102667,
        "fair_value": 16.457051,
        "relative_strength": -14.177452,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 34.299756,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 44709,
        "typical_volume": 101032.45,
        "trend": 13.012667,
        "fair_value": 16.46391,
        "relative_strength": -16.295019,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.006597,
        "energy": 49.855363,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.696667,
          11.936545,
          12.170095,
          12.430946
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.41,
        "volume": 56525,
        "typical_volume": 90104.5,
        "trend": 12.829333,
        "fair_value": 16.46141,
        "relative_strength": -20.067554,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.563779,
        "energy": 66.29255,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.200667,
          11.625091,
          11.989238,
          12.263032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.12,
        "volume": 58104,
        "typical_volume": 89074.6,
        "trend": 12.663333,
        "fair_value": 16.469231,
        "relative_strength": -16.207558,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.090326,
        "energy": 62.335095,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.082667,
          11.474545,
          11.886952,
          12.152753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.6,
        "volume": 34245,
        "typical_volume": 83764.15,
        "trend": 12.523,
        "fair_value": 16.478526,
        "relative_strength": -12.595881,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.462161,
        "energy": 55.509791,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.19,
          11.449818,
          11.836143,
          12.084151
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}