{ "ticker": { "uuid": "beb5976f-253c-434f-838c-5905bbfe4167", "symbol": "WSR", "name": "Westar Resources Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 78.347, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.741, "architecture_energy": 61.746, "architecture_maturity": 15.756, "architecture_confidence": 72.905, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.56, "rotation_up": 9.2, "upward_expansion": 20.44, "deceleration": 41.57, "rotation_down": 67.31, "downward_expansion": 74.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.006467, 0.006673, 0.00679, 0.006761 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.006, "trend_reference": 0.006833, "distance_from_trend": -0.121951, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.010011, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.40064, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -16.556919, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.142857, "excess_performance": -0.206563, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.121951, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.40064, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074402, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.165569, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.257438, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.142857, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.208399, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35000, "relative_activity": 0.014573, "balance": 0.208399, "dry_up": 0.506222, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070513, "annualized_volatility": 0.554183, "from_high_reference": -0.4, "from_low_reference": 0.2 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.006833, "fair_value_reference": 0.010011, "structural_low": 0.005, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.166667, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.173602, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.333333, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.1, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.061172, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.2, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.036667, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.057508, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.166667, "worst_return": -0.24, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.7, "positive_rate": 0.0, 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"modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.771363, "energy": 19.765447, "activity_lines": [ 0.007, 0.007, 0.006871, 0.006839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.007, "volume": 2713980, "typical_volume": 2895324.3, "trend": 0.0068, "fair_value": 0.010357, "relative_strength": 2.632262, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.76672, "energy": 20.045182, "activity_lines": [ 0.007, 0.007, 0.0069, 0.006854 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.006, "volume": 1743666, "typical_volume": 2761770.4, "trend": 0.0068, "fair_value": 0.010241, "relative_strength": -11.766594, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.79483, "energy": 28.613294, "activity_lines": [ 0.006667, 0.006818, 0.006833, 0.006802 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.007, "volume": 370672, "typical_volume": 2596061.15, "trend": 0.006833, "fair_value": 0.010132, "relative_strength": 0.377016, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.9685, "energy": 12.679229, "activity_lines": [ 0.006733, 0.006836, 0.006862, 0.006815 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.006, "volume": 35000, "typical_volume": 2401771.45, "trend": 0.006833, "fair_value": 0.010011, "relative_strength": -16.556919, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.741023, "energy": 61.746143, "activity_lines": [ 0.006467, 0.006673, 0.00679, 0.006761 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }