{ "ticker": { "uuid": "beb5ec26-4900-4463-996c-39502f89bd46", "symbol": "5DD", "name": "Micro-Mechanics (Holdings) Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 3.911, "architecture_energy": 15.993, "architecture_maturity": 41.81, "architecture_confidence": 80.995, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.4, "rotation_up": 16.45, "upward_expansion": 42.29, "deceleration": 75.47, "rotation_down": 39.04, "downward_expansion": 36.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.703333, 2.755091, 2.891619, 2.777611 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.73, "trend_reference": 2.533667, "distance_from_trend": 0.07749, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.7649, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.54683, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.012269, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.685185, "excess_performance": 0.53035, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.07749, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.183943, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.54683, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.380358, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.070123, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.52186, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.685185, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.218771, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 175600, "relative_activity": 0.115185, "balance": 1.218771, "dry_up": 0.231076, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109045, "annualized_volatility": 0.526178, "from_high_reference": -0.298201, "from_low_reference": 0.771054 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.533667, "fair_value_reference": 1.7649, "structural_low": 1.62, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.032939, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.043874, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.025478, "worst_return": -0.069183, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.018868, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.007912, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.062169, "worst_return": -0.195139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.058737, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.028738, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.92771, "worst_return": -0.322833, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.00951, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.112013, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.081024, "worst_return": -0.287678, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.055901, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.059363, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.05, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.019358, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.006289, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.112676, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.142858, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.016854, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.017959, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.68, "volume": 273400, "typical_volume": 1608095.0, "trend": 2.459697, "fair_value": 1.751586, "relative_strength": 7.691697, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.606693, "energy": 13.896495, "activity_lines": [ 2.733333, 2.815091, 2.920857, 2.748281 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.68, "volume": 530400, "typical_volume": 1582460.0, "trend": 2.495685, "fair_value": 1.757794, "relative_strength": 6.634307, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.908462, "energy": 14.876127, "activity_lines": [ 2.704, 2.775636, 2.905667, 2.762494 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.73, "volume": 175600, "typical_volume": 1524500.0, "trend": 2.533667, "fair_value": 1.7649, "relative_strength": 7.012269, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.91116, "energy": 15.993159, "activity_lines": [ 2.703333, 2.755091, 2.891619, 2.777611 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }