{ "ticker": { "uuid": "beba5fb0-71cc-440a-bae4-e0a871420f58", "symbol": "575", "name": "ASTI Holdings Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 12.473, "architecture_energy": 14.127, "architecture_maturity": 72.635, "architecture_confidence": 70.75, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.4, "rotation_up": 17.71, "upward_expansion": 45.94, "deceleration": 86.95, "rotation_down": 31.84, "downward_expansion": 26.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.118533, 0.121182, 0.126519, 0.116809 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.121, "trend_reference": 0.097967, "distance_from_trend": 0.235114, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.030147, "distance_from_fair_value": 3.013608, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 71.388112, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 2.78125, "excess_performance": 2.626415, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.235114, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.598151, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 3.013608, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -4.562178, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.713881, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -3.386907, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.78125, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.458097, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40689300, "relative_activity": 0.590699, "balance": 0.458097, "dry_up": 0.659665, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.14876, "annualized_volatility": 1.355787, "from_high_reference": -0.373057, "from_low_reference": 7.642857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.097967, "fair_value_reference": 0.030147, "structural_low": 0.031, "invalidation": "A 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"median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2021-07-09", "end": "2021-08-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.117637, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2021-08-27", "end": "2021-11-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.088206, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2021-11-12", "end": "2021-11-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.090921, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2021-12-03", "end": "2022-05-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-05-20", "end": "2022-06-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.392842, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-06-10", "end": "2022-09-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-04-21", "end": "2023-06-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-06-23", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 1.5, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 2.84375, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.024194, "active": true } ], 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"activity_lines": [ 0.1208, 0.126255, 0.126843, 0.11368 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.113, "volume": 38652000, "typical_volume": 71897340.0, "trend": 0.0944, "fair_value": 0.029462, "relative_strength": 66.684739, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.638773, "energy": 13.505161, "activity_lines": [ 0.118, 0.122527, 0.126343, 0.115092 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.121, "volume": 40689300, "typical_volume": 68883340.0, "trend": 0.097967, "fair_value": 0.030147, "relative_strength": 71.388112, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.473147, "energy": 14.127096, "activity_lines": [ 0.118533, 0.121182, 0.126519, 0.116809 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }