{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bec60364-412e-419d-82da-0f47fe1386b1", "symbol": "688028", "name": "Beijing Worldia Diamond Tools Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -22.918, "architecture_energy": 38.766, "architecture_maturity": 14.261, "architecture_confidence": 55.309, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.1, "rotation_up": 16.74, "upward_expansion": 20.07, "deceleration": 58.13, "rotation_down": 66.36, "downward_expansion": 42.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 84.617335, 100.405638, 108.428854, 107.568294 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 87.800003, "trend_reference": 103.692626, "distance_from_trend": -0.153267, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 39.854784, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.202998, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.573263, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.042517, "excess_performance": 0.000687, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.153267, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171647, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.202998, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.919585, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.105733, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.050024, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.042517, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.454434, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41473042, "relative_activity": 1.398166, "balance": 0.454434, "dry_up": 1.254484, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.258713, "annualized_volatility": 0.981784, "from_high_reference": -0.44254, "from_low_reference": 2.779619 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 103.692626, "fair_value_reference": 39.854784, "structural_low": 60.200001, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.066683, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.022443, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.162851, "worst_return": -0.143941, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.051335, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.021754, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.18378, "worst_return": -0.253053, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.035485, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.083849, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.204881, "worst_return": -0.082981, "sufficient": false }, { 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"regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.078398, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 1.240002, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.193059, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.087042, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.109553, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.128491, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.206411, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.335336, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.156547, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-07-28", "close": 20.13203, "volume": 3032408, "typical_volume": 4535223.7, "trend": 21.917937, "fair_value": 25.777301, "relative_strength": -18.811332, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper 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23.568251, "activity_lines": [ 121.536001, 121.04363, 117.846953, 112.211268 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 80.040001, "volume": 37203036, "typical_volume": 28430904.3, "trend": 102.569483, "fair_value": 39.126409, "relative_strength": 6.867237, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -9.619586, "energy": 14.007919, "activity_lines": [ 106.460001, 113.600945, 114.691456, 110.805352 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 67.510002, "volume": 40400980, "typical_volume": 28816083.45, "trend": 102.91492, "fair_value": 39.422377, "relative_strength": -11.257784, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.452716, "energy": 41.016662, "activity_lines": [ 89.690668, 104.635456, 110.503742, 108.54345 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 87.800003, "volume": 41473042, "typical_volume": 29662465.9, "trend": 103.692626, "fair_value": 39.854784, "relative_strength": 10.573263, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.918359, "energy": 38.765898, "activity_lines": [ 84.617335, 100.405638, 108.428854, 107.568294 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }