{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bed10e31-42d0-4a54-8c02-8e5801e340a9", "symbol": "MLONE", "name": "Body One SA", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.928, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -6.948, "architecture_energy": 38.904, "architecture_maturity": 62.853, "architecture_confidence": 73.099, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.11, "rotation_up": 14.0, "upward_expansion": 46.84, "deceleration": 87.76, "rotation_down": 51.05, "downward_expansion": 38.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.761, 0.796455, 0.836905, 0.806159 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.775, "trend_reference": 0.722733, "distance_from_trend": 0.072318, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.399192, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.94142, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 35.367439, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.845238, "excess_performance": 0.791927, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.072318, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.348551, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.94142, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.589005, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.353674, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.853102, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.845238, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.507, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 685, "relative_activity": 0.491304, "balance": 1.507, "dry_up": 0.749148, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06402, "annualized_volatility": 0.834223, "from_high_reference": -0.196891, "from_low_reference": 2.65566 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.722733, "fair_value_reference": 0.399192, "structural_low": 0.42, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.030303, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.023748, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.067901, "worst_return": -0.125, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.006173, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.018961, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.030303, "worst_return": -0.080247, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.036684, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.037395, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.28125, "worst_return": -0.030303, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.064069, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.065231, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.242424, "worst_return": -0.114286, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.075, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.081081, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.212121, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.10625, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.3125, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.87234, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.212598, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.006494, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.35, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 258.25, "trend": 0.3668, "fair_value": 0.297442, "relative_strength": -10.577897, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.047911, "energy": 26.631919, 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0.677567, "fair_value": 0.391006, "relative_strength": 21.150787, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -19.204482, "energy": 28.268363, "activity_lines": [ 0.798333, 0.842091, 0.856833, 0.790849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.77, "volume": 493, "typical_volume": 1778.4, "trend": 0.692567, "fair_value": 0.393776, "relative_strength": 44.055385, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.833098, "energy": 29.051763, "activity_lines": [ 0.778, 0.824091, 0.851286, 0.796813 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.77, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1583.4, "trend": 0.707567, "fair_value": 0.396468, "relative_strength": 39.695803, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.910807, "energy": 36.446689, "activity_lines": [ 0.765, 0.808545, 0.844452, 0.801809 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.775, "volume": 685, "typical_volume": 1394.25, "trend": 0.722733, "fair_value": 0.399192, "relative_strength": 35.367439, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -6.947625, "energy": 38.90406, "activity_lines": [ 0.761, 0.796455, 0.836905, 0.806159 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }