{ "ticker": { "uuid": "beea800e-e74a-4bef-99bf-ea91cc583f03", "symbol": "ATTB34", "name": "AT&T Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.942, "architecture_energy": 24.793, "architecture_maturity": 79.328, "architecture_confidence": 71.403, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.07, "rotation_up": 30.44, "upward_expansion": 20.29, "deceleration": 46.97, "rotation_down": 26.23, "downward_expansion": 58.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.454667, 38.512376, 39.422714, 41.137136 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 40.560001, "trend_reference": 42.879975, "distance_from_trend": -0.054104, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 38.788885, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.04566, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.888994, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.124047, "excess_performance": -0.066999, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.054104, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045036, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.04566, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057806, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.12889, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138182, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.124047, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.287028, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5839, "relative_activity": 1.27314, "balance": 2.287028, "dry_up": 1.614918, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066664, "annualized_volatility": 0.318513, "from_high_reference": -0.231876, "from_low_reference": 0.257285 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.879975, "fair_value_reference": 38.788885, "structural_low": 32.259998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.004837, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.021159, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.181327, "worst_return": -0.207262, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.041011, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.134461, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.137549, "worst_return": -0.179649, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.058674, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.136781, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.090665, "worst_return": -0.197618, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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}, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 36.939999, "volume": 8526, "typical_volume": 5782.2, "trend": 43.227146, "fair_value": 38.412881, "relative_strength": -23.627162, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.866988, "energy": 67.269633, "activity_lines": [ 36.618149, 37.600861, 39.948754, 41.703839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.490002, "volume": 5317, "typical_volume": 5539.5, "trend": 43.064306, "fair_value": 38.542004, "relative_strength": -15.559847, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.14847, "energy": 49.641, "activity_lines": [ 37.859233, 37.949548, 39.762079, 41.527249 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.389999, "volume": 9944, "typical_volume": 5590.9, "trend": 42.932446, "fair_value": 38.664248, "relative_strength": -18.772066, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.853658, "energy": 32.675545, "activity_lines": [ 38.501983, 38.099689, 39.513601, 41.290197 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.560001, "volume": 5839, "typical_volume": 4586.3, "trend": 42.879975, "fair_value": 38.788885, "relative_strength": -12.888994, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.941848, "energy": 24.793099, "activity_lines": [ 39.454667, 38.512376, 39.422714, 41.137136 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }