{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bef2d373-fd3a-41ab-84dc-0990154f8911", "symbol": "300131", "name": "Shenzhen Yitoa Intelligent Control Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -17.473, "architecture_energy": 29.056, "architecture_maturity": 6.049, "architecture_confidence": 45.04, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.62, "rotation_up": 17.21, "upward_expansion": 18.24, "deceleration": 57.69, "rotation_down": 60.71, "downward_expansion": 40.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.458667, 15.827273, 16.688857, 16.366366 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 15.18, "trend_reference": 15.989333, "distance_from_trend": -0.050617, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.840577, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.717083, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.97153, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.042582, "excess_performance": 0.035183, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.050617, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090033, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.717083, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.581143, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.059715, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.236011, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.042582, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.340013, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 328759852, "relative_activity": 0.739197, "balance": 1.340013, "dry_up": 0.748659, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.222509, "annualized_volatility": 0.861163, "from_high_reference": -0.358411, "from_low_reference": 0.85122 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.989333, "fair_value_reference": 8.840577, "structural_low": 10.62, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.009838, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.017332, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.224096, "worst_return": -0.028736, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.146583, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.082909, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.218475, "worst_return": -0.113208, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.273119, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.159313, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.384164, "worst_return": -0.280172, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.014663, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.147887, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.126354, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.546476, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.170749, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.708624, "energy": 33.963175, "activity_lines": [ 18.748667, 18.548727, 17.614, 16.864129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.95, "volume": 411986079, "typical_volume": 438496095.15, "trend": 15.991667, "fair_value": 8.673333, "relative_strength": 3.222769, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.670736, "energy": 7.528949, "activity_lines": [ 17.202, 17.693818, 17.365714, 16.731764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.5, "volume": 301674955, "typical_volume": 440798547.8, "trend": 16.05, "fair_value": 8.732564, "relative_strength": 6.161338, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.508106, "energy": 12.626015, "activity_lines": [ 16.058667, 17.012909, 17.175476, 16.635527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.67, "volume": 289451288, "typical_volume": 440043993.55, "trend": 15.972, "fair_value": 8.777692, "relative_strength": -6.249835, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.291356, "energy": 32.545339, "activity_lines": [ 14.596, 16.127091, 16.808, 16.417462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.18, "volume": 328759852, "typical_volume": 444752773.8, "trend": 15.989333, "fair_value": 8.840577, "relative_strength": 5.97153, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.472834, "energy": 29.056216, "activity_lines": [ 14.458667, 15.827273, 16.688857, 16.366366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }