{ "ticker": { "uuid": "befb3b9b-443c-4b98-b897-f69e6c3eb651", "symbol": "BXC", "name": "BlueLinx Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 56.589, "architecture_energy": 61.237, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 72.222, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.61, "rotation_up": 66.68, "upward_expansion": 56.72, "deceleration": 27.38, "rotation_down": 22.82, "downward_expansion": 24.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 67.773333, 63.285818, 59.016238, 58.34086 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 89.88, "trend_reference": 59.998333, "distance_from_trend": 0.498042, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 85.766474, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.047962, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.424148, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.137002, "excess_performance": 0.011377, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.498042, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009754, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.047962, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.455641, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.244241, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.561065, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.137002, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.928745, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1429420, "relative_activity": 2.1169, "balance": 0.928745, "dry_up": 1.369247, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11069, "annualized_volatility": 0.933193, "from_high_reference": -0.010895, "from_low_reference": 1.007146 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.998333, "fair_value_reference": 85.766474, "structural_low": 44.78, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.047172, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.082302, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.166489, "worst_return": -0.241746, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.151422, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.204345, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.274149, "worst_return": -0.337255, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.0424, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.188693, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.191024, "worst_return": -0.304318, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"2026-07-03", "close": 56.84, "volume": 675395, "typical_volume": 599560.45, "trend": 60.206, "fair_value": 86.652308, "relative_strength": -21.492507, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.427322, "energy": 18.651724, "activity_lines": [ 58.561333, 55.772182, 54.822333, 57.159183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 54.17, "volume": 664300, "typical_volume": 620831.0, "trend": 59.835667, "fair_value": 86.388846, "relative_strength": -25.172998, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.146361, "energy": 16.838512, "activity_lines": [ 57.615333, 55.786545, 54.694762, 56.769763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 60.46, "volume": 731179, "typical_volume": 626205.8, "trend": 59.758667, "fair_value": 86.155897, "relative_strength": -14.524752, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.573523, "energy": 12.656471, "activity_lines": [ 58.508, 56.906909, 55.254667, 56.810043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 58.41, "volume": 864070, "typical_volume": 653607.1, "trend": 59.620667, "fair_value": 85.935577, "relative_strength": -16.122267, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.854902, "energy": 8.43582, "activity_lines": [ 58.357333, 57.507818, 55.645333, 56.723032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 54.22, "volume": 673625, "typical_volume": 656214.15, "trend": 59.403, "fair_value": 85.722885, "relative_strength": -22.277791, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.902426, "energy": 11.77851, "activity_lines": [ 56.753333, 57.203818, 55.644238, 56.374602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 89.88, "volume": 1429420, "typical_volume": 675242.1, "trend": 59.998333, "fair_value": 85.766474, "relative_strength": 24.424148, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 56.588586, "energy": 61.236694, "activity_lines": [ 67.773333, 63.285818, 59.016238, 58.34086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }