{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bf116956-d88c-4f1c-9104-3f85ca1506f5", "symbol": "HUMAN", "name": "Humanica Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 85.184, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.449, "architecture_energy": 19.88, "architecture_maturity": 25.697, "architecture_confidence": 72.395, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.29, "rotation_up": 30.15, "upward_expansion": 61.54, "deceleration": 84.5, "rotation_down": 25.09, "downward_expansion": 13.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.721333, 4.761455, 4.65358, 4.585817 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.62, "trend_reference": 4.571698, "distance_from_trend": 0.010565, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.574155, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.390031, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.500044, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.016472, "excess_performance": -0.208797, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.010565, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007442, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.390031, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088359, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.205, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.172119, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.016472, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.080099, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13592800, "relative_activity": 1.681119, "balance": 1.080099, "dry_up": 1.639926, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061439, "annualized_volatility": 0.425999, "from_high_reference": -0.391326, "from_low_reference": 0.260145 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.571698, "fair_value_reference": 7.574155, "structural_low": 3.666244, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.058065, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.004336, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.035398, "worst_return": -0.166667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.108264, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.061167, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.015394, "worst_return": -0.153056, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.068066, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.041642, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.023399, "worst_return": -0.069877, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.080523, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.110497, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.117647, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-22", 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"modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.462989, "energy": 26.996554, "activity_lines": [ 4.812, 4.782182, 4.58073, 4.560716 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.74, "volume": 19020700, "typical_volume": 7688940.0, "trend": 4.575691, "fair_value": 7.625406, "relative_strength": -21.883354, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.732796, "energy": 22.890425, "activity_lines": [ 4.788, 4.789818, 4.609877, 4.570936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.76, "volume": 10972700, "typical_volume": 7731835.0, "trend": 4.573641, "fair_value": 7.599517, "relative_strength": -19.637011, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.678159, "energy": 28.859947, "activity_lines": [ 4.782667, 4.793091, 4.639726, 4.582827 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.62, "volume": 13592800, "typical_volume": 8085565.0, "trend": 4.571698, "fair_value": 7.574155, "relative_strength": -20.500044, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.449328, "energy": 19.87977, "activity_lines": [ 4.721333, 4.761455, 4.65358, 4.585817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }