{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bf137143-6903-4744-9daa-76e68eaaa114", "symbol": "688553", "name": "Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.539, "architecture_energy": 35.557, "architecture_maturity": 19.093, "architecture_confidence": 95.032, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.05, "rotation_up": 21.64, "upward_expansion": 9.7, "deceleration": 39.92, "rotation_down": 50.9, "downward_expansion": 76.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.145333, 11.294957, 11.734934, 11.99293 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 11.91, "trend_reference": 12.38906, "distance_from_trend": -0.038668, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.598952, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.123696, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.13865, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.064428, "excess_performance": -0.021224, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.038668, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044146, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.123696, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15884, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.091386, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022958, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.064428, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.306698, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56495790, "relative_activity": 0.757745, "balance": 0.306698, "dry_up": 1.13979, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138928, "annualized_volatility": 0.736447, "from_high_reference": -0.365147, "from_low_reference": 0.211597 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.38906, "fair_value_reference": 10.598952, "structural_low": 9.83, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.008803, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.018447, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.270625, "worst_return": -0.125, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.104623, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.086177, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.759869, "worst_return": -0.161033, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.000782, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.005502, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.317646, "worst_return": -0.211334, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 62647719.9, "trend": 12.539162, "fair_value": 10.552604, "relative_strength": -7.429325, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.036718, "energy": 19.743755, "activity_lines": [ 11.881522, 11.796856, 12.217343, 12.375924 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.51, "volume": 132620522, "typical_volume": 68474389.8, "trend": 12.509324, "fair_value": 10.565546, "relative_strength": -10.066168, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.895422, "energy": 17.093079, "activity_lines": [ 11.888667, 11.699459, 12.136258, 12.309527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.06, "volume": 90944757, "typical_volume": 71348126.55, "trend": 12.43248, "fair_value": 10.570047, "relative_strength": -21.737762, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.067723, "energy": 27.650359, "activity_lines": [ 11.368667, 11.372792, 11.922604, 12.151506 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.45, "volume": 59859753, "typical_volume": 73039573.65, "trend": 12.385442, "fair_value": 10.579209, "relative_strength": -18.575927, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.657823, "energy": 34.774604, "activity_lines": [ 11.033333, 11.176317, 11.756059, 12.023604 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.91, "volume": 56495790, "typical_volume": 74557805.95, "trend": 12.38906, "fair_value": 10.598952, "relative_strength": -9.13865, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.539282, "energy": 35.556703, "activity_lines": [ 11.145333, 11.294957, 11.734934, 11.99293 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }