{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bf1f640f-e000-45eb-b6a0-fd15f3b12fad", "symbol": "301079", "name": "ShaoYang Victor Hydraulics Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.238, "architecture_energy": 81.364, "architecture_maturity": 28.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.986, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.53, "rotation_up": 10.18, "upward_expansion": 19.96, "deceleration": 37.12, "rotation_down": 73.77, "downward_expansion": 93.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.732001, 29.919819, 33.959225, 36.235994 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 29.530001, "trend_reference": 39.589967, "distance_from_trend": -0.254104, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.678095, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.247144, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.244117, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.297741, "excess_performance": -0.305141, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.254104, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035087, "read": "Rising" 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22.84, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.001942, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.021069, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.225194, "worst_return": -0.252918, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.107875, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.0996, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.672621, "worst_return": -0.246264, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.263323, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.058628, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.719801, "worst_return": -0.236637, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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22247877, "typical_volume": 35466689.85, "trend": 39.836967, "fair_value": 23.574108, "relative_strength": -27.724965, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.387704, "energy": 83.230927, "activity_lines": [ 29.262667, 31.6574, 35.799596, 37.747366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.540001, "volume": 17366463, "typical_volume": 34403525.95, "trend": 39.6593, "fair_value": 23.604197, "relative_strength": -22.246968, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.263343, "energy": 85.073797, "activity_lines": [ 27.779334, 30.392907, 34.708363, 36.889497 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.530001, "volume": 19035082, "typical_volume": 33658026.4, "trend": 39.589967, "fair_value": 23.678095, "relative_strength": -17.244117, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.237999, "energy": 81.363791, "activity_lines": [ 27.732001, 29.919819, 33.959225, 36.235994 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }