{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bf24f6e6-32d6-4cd6-bfc3-babf7240d49a",
    "symbol": "HFBL",
    "name": "Home Federal Bancorp Louisiana",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.151,
    "architecture_energy": 77.189,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.888,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.399,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.72,
        "rotation_up": 77.59,
        "upward_expansion": 92.11,
        "deceleration": 44.43,
        "rotation_down": 10.76,
        "downward_expansion": 16.44
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        22.924952,
        22.12123,
        21.011948,
        20.25224
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 23.5,
    "trend_reference": 19.403762,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.211105,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 13.89427,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.691345,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 18.5094,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.283411,
    "excess_performance": 0.095957,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.211105,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097252,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.691345,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.178894,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.185094,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10208,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.283411,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.384445,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16104,
      "relative_activity": 1.371651,
      "balance": 0.384445,
      "dry_up": 1.886083,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.06403,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.337051,
      "from_high_reference": -0.014532,
      "from_low_reference": 0.850873
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.403762,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.89427,
      "structural_low": 15.62953,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.024157,
        "positive_rate": 0.703704,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.703704,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009886,
        "regime_survival": 0.814815,
        "best_return": 0.138323,
        "worst_return": -0.103029,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.250174,
        "worst_return": -0.069779,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.040479,
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        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.036927,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.041782,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00582,
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        "worst_return": 0.00347,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "start": "2023-03-24",
        "end": "2023-08-18",
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        "return": 0.015544,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 9050.65,
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        "fair_value": 13.714237,
        "relative_strength": 22.432122,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 85.648696,
        "energy": 86.236648,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 21.809655,
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        "typical_volume": 11571.95,
        "trend": 19.010296,
        "fair_value": 13.768435,
        "relative_strength": 17.96136,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.213137,
        "energy": 63.041888,
        "activity_lines": [
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          21.166769,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.345,
        "volume": 4004,
        "typical_volume": 11276.95,
        "trend": 19.203624,
        "fair_value": 13.83022,
        "relative_strength": 24.559704,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.699806,
        "energy": 80.245053,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.460555,
          21.669227,
          20.650815,
          19.975055
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.5,
        "volume": 16104,
        "typical_volume": 11740.6,
        "trend": 19.403762,
        "fair_value": 13.89427,
        "relative_strength": 18.5094,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.151233,
        "energy": 77.189455,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.924952,
          22.12123,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}