{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bf2cfdce-931f-450f-816c-90428f0b2504", "symbol": "KD", "name": "Kyndryl Holdings, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 84.15, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 21.048, "architecture_energy": 38.304, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 42.356, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.23, "rotation_up": 51.59, "upward_expansion": 37.32, "deceleration": 44.82, "rotation_down": 14.0, "downward_expansion": 45.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 230.066667, 219.973454, 215.714762, 220.757935 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 239.0, "trend_reference": 244.851667, "distance_from_trend": -0.023899, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 457.445833, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.477534, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -36.148041, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.371053, "excess_performance": -0.316386, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.023899, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.259638, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.477534, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061735, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.36148, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.262843, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.371053, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.80752, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 501, "relative_activity": 1.433887, "balance": 0.80752, "dry_up": 0.779908, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04578, "annualized_volatility": 0.963275, "from_high_reference": -0.602329, "from_low_reference": 0.352575 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 244.851667, "fair_value_reference": 457.445833, "structural_low": 176.699997, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.016256, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.01464, "regime_survival": 0.933333, "best_return": 0.168454, "worst_return": -0.501155, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.127928, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.219299, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.224684, "worst_return": -0.444737, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.315315, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.316386, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.422986, "worst_return": -0.371053, "sufficient": 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220.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 364.95, "trend": 269.918333, "fair_value": 457.295833, "relative_strength": -45.706191, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.580009, "energy": 33.673622, "activity_lines": [ 212.545333, 206.870727, 211.417095, 226.653957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 220.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 336.5, "trend": 261.418333, "fair_value": 457.271474, "relative_strength": -43.760251, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.878871, "energy": 32.786413, "activity_lines": [ 217.0, 209.698909, 211.795428, 223.433419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 234.0, "volume": 589, "typical_volume": 341.3, "trend": 253.051667, "fair_value": 457.336859, "relative_strength": -38.743587, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 9.386298, "energy": 26.513179, "activity_lines": [ 224.2, 214.599818, 213.552714, 221.664495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 239.0, "volume": 501, "typical_volume": 349.4, "trend": 244.851667, "fair_value": 457.445833, "relative_strength": -36.148041, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 21.047612, "energy": 38.304391, "activity_lines": [ 230.066667, 219.973454, 215.714762, 220.757935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }