{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bf316ebc-3576-4aad-8213-5ef5fe72cfa4",
    "symbol": "EVEX",
    "name": "Eve Holding Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -51.893,
    "architecture_energy": 35.082,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.669,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.738,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.06,
        "rotation_up": 21.07,
        "upward_expansion": 5.83,
        "deceleration": 51.6,
        "rotation_down": 53.58,
        "downward_expansion": 76.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.448667,
        2.474,
        2.654143,
        2.726452
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 2.76,
    "trend_reference": 2.931667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.058556,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 4.638141,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.404934,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -30.117964,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.168675,
    "excess_performance": -0.2943,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058556,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.167377,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.404934,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0275,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.30118,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040029,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.168675,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.014677,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7235217,
      "relative_activity": 1.246368,
      "balance": 1.014677,
      "dry_up": 0.957029,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.156915,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.638475,
      "from_high_reference": -0.553398,
      "from_low_reference": 0.314348
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.931667,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.638141,
      "structural_low": 2.0999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.021739,
        "positive_rate": 0.37037,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.62963,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050507,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.57,
        "worst_return": -0.297082,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.05,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.124862,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.6,
        "worst_return": -0.445471,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.024011,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.09873,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.55,
        "worst_return": -0.473198,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.366667,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.205649,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.512668,
        "worst_return": -0.617962,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.013966,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.046575,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.227523,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.027295,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
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        "return": -0.043956,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
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        "return": 0.123487,
        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 5943781.9,
        "trend": 3.118667,
        "fair_value": 4.756987,
        "relative_strength": -46.756946,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 69.186137,
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          2.404667,
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          2.732857,
          2.842129
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.29,
        "volume": 5184492,
        "typical_volume": 5959419.45,
        "trend": 3.053333,
        "fair_value": 4.714103,
        "relative_strength": -42.135142,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -64.787556,
        "energy": 60.953862,
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          2.337333,
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          2.688048,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.32,
        "volume": 4179324,
        "typical_volume": 5862149.25,
        "trend": 2.991,
        "fair_value": 4.674936,
        "relative_strength": -40.479924,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.453642,
        "energy": 53.13147,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.316,
          2.446545,
          2.649095,
          2.741355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.76,
        "volume": 7235217,
        "typical_volume": 5805041.8,
        "trend": 2.931667,
        "fair_value": 4.638141,
        "relative_strength": -30.117964,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.893331,
        "energy": 35.082417,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.448667,
          2.474,
          2.654143,
          2.726452
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}