{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bf3663a8-6121-431a-810f-d185205a1805", "symbol": "GSLC", "name": "Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Paris-Aligned Sustainable US Large Cap Equity UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.773, "architecture_energy": 74.435, "architecture_maturity": 88.324, "architecture_confidence": 80.776, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.76, "rotation_up": 63.6, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 65.63, "rotation_down": 29.65, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 90.530666, 90.198, 88.247286, 86.075957 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 92.139999, "trend_reference": 83.659667, "distance_from_trend": 0.101367, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 72.721154, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.267032, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.191317, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.157829, "excess_performance": -0.013063, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.101367, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041117, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.267032, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064898, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.031913, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021636, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.157829, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 896.941176, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 326, "relative_activity": 0.336186, "balance": 896.941176, "dry_up": 0.088429, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014076, "annualized_volatility": 0.121514, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.211094 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 83.659667, "fair_value_reference": 72.721154, "structural_low": 77.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.015963, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": -0.003925, "regime_survival": 0.815789, "best_return": 0.057535, "worst_return": -0.088673, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.031495, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.010047, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.125805, "worst_return": -0.093694, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.048762, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.010832, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.194095, "worst_return": -0.093385, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.919023, "energy": 81.295032, "activity_lines": [ 89.325333, 88.14, 85.107381, 83.546086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 90.849998, "volume": 294, "typical_volume": 953.65, "trend": 82.345334, "fair_value": 71.845705, "relative_strength": -3.162667, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.053315, "energy": 74.43342, "activity_lines": [ 89.935999, 88.866363, 85.871809, 84.11957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 90.690002, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 953.9, "trend": 82.707667, "fair_value": 72.069359, "relative_strength": -1.839756, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.359094, "energy": 71.099438, "activity_lines": [ 90.314667, 89.405272, 86.567333, 84.657936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 90.690002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 953.9, "trend": 83.058667, "fair_value": 72.287436, "relative_strength": -1.582711, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.804938, "energy": 88.47019, "activity_lines": [ 90.525334, 89.823091, 87.209953, 85.172925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 88.239998, "volume": 12, "typical_volume": 953.65, "trend": 83.324334, "fair_value": 72.488526, "relative_strength": -4.661669, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.919667, "energy": 67.252879, "activity_lines": [ 89.850667, 89.681818, 87.566333, 85.507205 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 92.139999, "volume": 326, "typical_volume": 969.7, "trend": 83.659667, "fair_value": 72.721154, "relative_strength": -3.191317, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.772996, "energy": 74.434847, "activity_lines": [ 90.530666, 90.198, 88.247286, 86.075957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }