{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bf448573-b20a-4785-8b31-960649480edc", "symbol": "WRD", "name": "WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.737, "architecture_energy": 33.041, "architecture_maturity": 55.478, "architecture_confidence": 58.146, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.45, "rotation_up": 24.81, "upward_expansion": 15.8, "deceleration": 66.08, "rotation_down": 40.73, "downward_expansion": 65.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.884667, 5.832909, 6.318643, 6.580118 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.3, "trend_reference": 6.975167, "distance_from_trend": -0.096796, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.343245, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.390907, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.971976, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.193342, "excess_performance": -0.380796, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.096796, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11101, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.390907, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073554, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.31972, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039789, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.193342, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.108603, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8585845, "relative_activity": 0.571435, "balance": 1.108603, "dry_up": 0.660071, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122021, "annualized_volatility": 0.51412, "from_high_reference": -0.498008, "from_low_reference": 0.216216 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.975167, "fair_value_reference": 10.343245, "structural_low": 5.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.058268, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.001849, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.058268, "worst_return": -0.058268, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.192408, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.007874, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 16.55, "volume": 1950574, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 14.52, "volume": 1815113, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": 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"typical_volume": 17083814.3, "trend": 7.2055, "fair_value": 10.436359, "relative_strength": -40.594855, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.995303, "energy": 66.741606, "activity_lines": [ 5.584667, 5.852545, 6.452071, 6.720247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.82, "volume": 8235430, "typical_volume": 16579515.6, "trend": 7.0865, "fair_value": 10.38672, "relative_strength": -34.674297, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.434022, "energy": 46.953636, "activity_lines": [ 5.665333, 5.785273, 6.360524, 6.63086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.3, "volume": 8585845, "typical_volume": 15025067.75, "trend": 6.975167, "fair_value": 10.343245, "relative_strength": -31.971976, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.737328, "energy": 33.041169, "activity_lines": [ 5.884667, 5.832909, 6.318643, 6.580118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }