{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bf5b2451-679a-42d9-a1cd-6573241dc07a",
    "symbol": "IWDL",
    "name": "UBS AG London Branch",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.223,
    "architecture_energy": 78.467,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.398,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.026,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.35,
        "rotation_up": 77.85,
        "upward_expansion": 92.88,
        "deceleration": 46.64,
        "rotation_down": 16.83,
        "downward_expansion": 14.88
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        67.019347,
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        60.097984
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 69.6105,
    "trend_reference": 57.17607,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.217476,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.535902,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.675912,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 19.063254,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.280276,
    "excess_performance": 0.154651,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.217476,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108106,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.675912,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1693,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.190633,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079991,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.280276,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 19.105341,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5427,
      "relative_activity": 1.78649,
      "balance": 19.105341,
      "dry_up": 1.282836,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.041842,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.201632,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006841,
      "from_low_reference": 0.678105
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 57.17607,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.535902,
      "structural_low": 47.112,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.021749,
        "positive_rate": 0.62963,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.62963,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004747,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.06555,
        "worst_return": -0.164123,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_return": 0.07336,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003827,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.112,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02722,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": 0.061441,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.059165,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "relative_strength": 11.616029,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.928208,
        "energy": 88.255937,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.294567,
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          52.438554,
          51.411196
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 58.3514,
        "volume": 1316,
        "typical_volume": 1425.25,
        "trend": 50.24377,
        "fair_value": 38.730211,
        "relative_strength": 11.064159,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.474004,
        "energy": 93.599407,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 57.4852,
        "volume": 241,
        "typical_volume": 1404.3,
        "trend": 50.668013,
        "fair_value": 38.9226,
        "relative_strength": 8.909489,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 71.712358,
        "energy": 88.901417,
        "activity_lines": [
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          52.433848
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 478,
        "typical_volume": 1397.8,
        "trend": 51.108043,
        "fair_value": 39.132499,
        "relative_strength": 11.262991,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.64005,
        "energy": 81.205003,
        "activity_lines": [
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          53.000402
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 106,
        "typical_volume": 1352.15,
        "trend": 51.598033,
        "fair_value": 39.340412,
        "relative_strength": 10.589978,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 1305.0,
        "trend": 52.074393,
        "fair_value": 39.540917,
        "relative_strength": 11.885889,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 69.527347,
        "energy": 62.996831,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 2730,
        "typical_volume": 1344.9,
        "trend": 52.627327,
        "fair_value": 39.750034,
        "relative_strength": 15.23728,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 53.195183,
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        "relative_strength": 13.055551,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 1194.0,
        "trend": 53.693953,
        "fair_value": 40.174501,
        "relative_strength": 17.14054,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.561483,
        "energy": 77.062075,
        "activity_lines": [
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          55.916512
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 64.25,
        "volume": 12991,
        "typical_volume": 1775.95,
        "trend": 54.24393,
        "fair_value": 40.400108,
        "relative_strength": 17.174094,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.502577,
        "energy": 85.434284,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 64.5733,
        "volume": 16484,
        "typical_volume": 2569.1,
        "trend": 54.78534,
        "fair_value": 40.621249,
        "relative_strength": 15.662754,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.256687,
        "energy": 79.28828,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.51638,
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          59.206217,
          57.263959
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 64.9813,
        "volume": 2259,
        "typical_volume": 2614.95,
        "trend": 55.354437,
        "fair_value": 40.836783,
        "relative_strength": 17.61651,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.052587,
        "energy": 75.021331,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.180727,
          62.860022,
          60.010295,
          57.921763
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 65.001,
        "volume": 2419,
        "typical_volume": 2542.8,
        "trend": 55.886423,
        "fair_value": 41.05186,
        "relative_strength": 17.762763,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.957009,
        "energy": 66.347595,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.649273,
          63.468529,
          60.766017,
          58.544122
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 66.9247,
        "volume": 5483,
        "typical_volume": 2783.25,
        "trend": 56.563913,
        "fair_value": 41.285637,
        "relative_strength": 19.210947,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.47945,
        "energy": 69.27645,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.5312,
          64.290149,
          61.637475,
          59.256268
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 69.6105,
        "volume": 5427,
        "typical_volume": 3037.8,
        "trend": 57.17607,
        "fair_value": 41.535902,
        "relative_strength": 19.063254,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.222846,
        "energy": 78.466944,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.019347,
          65.464185,
          62.680922,
          60.097984
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}