{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bf5f44e9-8347-42d1-bf3d-e76d2c9d6fbd", "symbol": "SINT", "name": "SINTX Technologies Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.586, "architecture_energy": 72.036, "architecture_maturity": 70.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 17.04, "upward_expansion": 15.93, "deceleration": 40.63, "rotation_down": 65.88, "downward_expansion": 89.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.613333, 1.715091, 1.939238, 2.129043 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.66, "trend_reference": 2.429667, "distance_from_trend": -0.316779, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.306665, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.925583, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -53.188947, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.435374, "excess_performance": -0.622828, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.316779, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.200329, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.925583, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023307, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.531889, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12197, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.435374, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.172319, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 127778, "relative_activity": 0.633459, "balance": 0.172319, "dry_up": 0.605467, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.16816, "annualized_volatility": 0.544974, "from_high_reference": -0.755162, "from_low_reference": 0.185714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.429667, "fair_value_reference": 22.306665, "structural_low": 1.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 51, "median_return": -0.099291, "positive_rate": 0.294118, "directional_follow_through": 0.705882, "median_excess_return": -0.120638, "regime_survival": 0.941176, "best_return": 0.683544, "worst_return": -0.8104, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.271468, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.347491, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.752632, "worst_return": -0.939833, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.648659, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.693803, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.178947, "worst_return": -0.944745, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 1.886667, 2.005636, 2.194381, 2.392441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.59, "volume": 145178, "typical_volume": 213469.6, "trend": 2.647667, "fair_value": 27.583845, "relative_strength": -54.716661, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.907535, "energy": 80.405518, "activity_lines": [ 1.765333, 1.912091, 2.121643, 2.31986 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.4, "volume": 106643, "typical_volume": 210991.8, "trend": 2.569667, "fair_value": 25.579999, "relative_strength": -59.026052, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.001936, "energy": 88.538778, "activity_lines": [ 1.616, 1.797818, 2.037, 2.239366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.7, "volume": 108927, "typical_volume": 208120.75, "trend": 2.500333, "fair_value": 23.847306, "relative_strength": -50.157347, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.636004, "energy": 80.895837, "activity_lines": [ 1.614, 1.753818, 1.987214, 2.183258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.66, "volume": 127778, "typical_volume": 201714.65, "trend": 2.429667, "fair_value": 22.306665, "relative_strength": -53.188947, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.585629, "energy": 72.036312, "activity_lines": [ 1.613333, 1.715091, 1.939238, 2.129043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }