{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bf6b0321-8481-45ef-8deb-1212adf9f1d6", "symbol": "8054", "name": "Alcor Micro,Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.809, "architecture_energy": 69.6, "architecture_maturity": 21.032, "architecture_confidence": 81.018, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.41, "rotation_up": 9.43, "upward_expansion": 15.25, "deceleration": 37.23, "rotation_down": 76.76, "downward_expansion": 93.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 84.234432, 91.663776, 97.477572, 100.038435 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 82.599998, "trend_reference": 104.941941, "distance_from_trend": -0.212898, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 115.8215, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.286834, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -48.5183, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.336546, "excess_performance": -0.777918, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.212898, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.114414, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.286834, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.215171, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.485183, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092382, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.336546, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.203447, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4133230, "relative_activity": 0.295971, "balance": 1.203447, "dry_up": 0.428272, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.180992, "annualized_volatility": 0.545404, "from_high_reference": -0.485358, "from_low_reference": 0.096945 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 104.941941, "fair_value_reference": 115.8215, "structural_low": 75.300003, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.029167, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": -0.014706, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.379115, "worst_return": -0.28125, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.026915, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.063724, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.93617, "worst_return": -0.366667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.056886, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.082279, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 4.425531, "worst_return": -0.4787, "sufficient": true }, { 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-48.660932, "energy": 19.93498, "activity_lines": [ 102.533333, 104.027272, 104.017619, 106.244516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 94.658241, "volume": 8884205, "typical_volume": 14709159.1, "trend": 110.145275, "fair_value": 114.910413, "relative_strength": -40.874384, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.861883, "energy": 41.320642, "activity_lines": [ 98.752747, 102.206953, 103.191261, 105.136015 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 80.0, "volume": 5635105, "typical_volume": 14587392.1, "trend": 108.061941, "fair_value": 115.192559, "relative_strength": -48.612606, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.604561, "energy": 64.246708, "activity_lines": [ 90.675531, 97.864076, 101.020507, 103.191159 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 82.800003, "volume": 5270676, "typical_volume": 14265225.45, "trend": 106.205275, "fair_value": 115.502559, "relative_strength": -47.334798, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.964206, "energy": 69.555584, "activity_lines": [ 86.464983, 94.603017, 99.216421, 101.561356 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 82.599998, "volume": 4133230, "typical_volume": 13964979.45, "trend": 104.941941, "fair_value": 115.8215, "relative_strength": -48.5183, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.808863, "energy": 69.600242, "activity_lines": [ 84.234432, 91.663776, 97.477572, 100.038435 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }