{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bf6f4b3d-b29c-4e15-bc84-dddec0bd03e3", "symbol": "PRECWIRE", "name": "Precision Wires India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.142, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.976, "architecture_energy": 17.197, "architecture_maturity": 60.217, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.0, "rotation_up": 25.24, "upward_expansion": 47.7, "deceleration": 83.91, "rotation_down": 32.2, "downward_expansion": 28.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 385.502899, 389.278727, 393.48856, 377.400631 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 413.799988, "trend_reference": 347.037508, "distance_from_trend": 0.192378, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 195.93547, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.11192, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 42.159309, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.688752, "excess_performance": 0.732461, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.192378, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171085, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.11192, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.362825, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.421593, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.409351, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.688752, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.695047, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2839143, "relative_activity": 1.22875, "balance": 2.695047, "dry_up": 0.576908, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089556, "annualized_volatility": 0.504791, "from_high_reference": -0.114866, "from_low_reference": 1.461846 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 347.037508, "fair_value_reference": 195.93547, "structural_low": 246.151664, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.062302, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": 0.025792, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.323479, "worst_return": -0.146227, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.219497, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.225056, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.552117, "worst_return": -0.208716, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.152526, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.079666, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.356199, "worst_return": -0.027444, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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391.53336, 365.65415 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 361.088593, "volume": 761544, "typical_volume": 3020866.6, "trend": 332.119402, "fair_value": 190.220748, "relative_strength": 30.843452, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.167583, "energy": 17.261613, "activity_lines": [ 386.285063, 395.644566, 390.607624, 367.8007 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 371.921753, "volume": 965377, "typical_volume": 2743452.05, "trend": 336.611374, "fair_value": 192.039956, "relative_strength": 36.058462, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.259243, "energy": 21.099348, "activity_lines": [ 378.634644, 390.635521, 390.481053, 370.368593 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 372.600006, "volume": 765939, "typical_volume": 2419843.75, "trend": 340.792027, "fair_value": 193.851266, "relative_strength": 31.072322, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.404496, "energy": 17.348108, "activity_lines": [ 373.632192, 385.824853, 390.235879, 372.69044 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 413.799988, "volume": 2839143, "typical_volume": 2310595.35, "trend": 347.037508, "fair_value": 195.93547, "relative_strength": 42.159309, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.976082, "energy": 17.196915, "activity_lines": [ 385.502899, 389.278727, 393.48856, 377.400631 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }